{"id":75962,"date":"2013-10-04T12:58:59","date_gmt":"2013-10-04T11:58:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/breaking-news\/debt-doomsayer-treasury-forecasts-back-to-2008-recession-or-worse-if-us-defaults\/75962\/"},"modified":"2013-10-04T14:50:00","modified_gmt":"2013-10-04T13:50:00","slug":"debt-doomsayer-treasury-forecasts-back-to-2008-recession-or-worse-if-us-defaults","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/latest-news\/debt-doomsayer-treasury-forecasts-back-to-2008-recession-or-worse-if-us-defaults\/","title":{"rendered":"Debt doomsayer: Treasury forecasts \u2018back to 2008 recession or worse\u2019 if US defaults"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ftpimagefix\" style=\"float: none;\">The US government default caused by the ongoing budget standoff in the Congress could have a &#8220;catastrophic\u201d effect on the country&#8217;s economy, which would be felt for decades, the Treasury Department said in report.<\/div>\n<p>The US government went on partial shutdown this Monday after the<br \/>\nDemocratic-led Senate turned down repeated efforts by the<br \/>\nRepublicans to pass a budget, constraining the implementation of<br \/>\n\u2018Obamacare&#8217; \u2014 a healthcare law, which the president considers a<br \/>\ncenterpiece of his political legacy.<\/p>\n<p>If the Congress fails to raise the $16.7 trillion federal<br \/>\nborrowing limit by October 17, the government could begin running<br \/>\nout of money to pay its bills, which would result in an<br \/>\nunprecedented US debt default.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201cIn the event that a debt limit impasse were to lead to a<br \/>\ndefault, it could have a catastrophic effect on not just<br \/>\nfinancial markets, but also on job creation, consumer spending<br \/>\nand economic growth \u2013 with many private-sector analysts believing<br \/>\nthat it would lead to events of the magnitude of late 2008 or<br \/>\nworse, and the result then was a recession more severe than any<br \/>\nseen since the Great Depression,\u201d<\/i> the Treasury said in a<br \/>\nreport on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>The consequences of the default, which include high interest<br \/>\nrates, reduced investment, higher debt payments, and slow<br \/>\neconomic growth, would also be sustainable and <i>\u201ccould last for<br \/>\nmore than a generation,\u201d<\/i> the department warned.<\/p>\n<p>The Treasury said the <i>\u201cwe may be starting to see some<br \/>\ntentative signs that the current debate is affecting financial<br \/>\nmarkets,\u201d<\/i> with the crisis already shaking the Wall Street<br \/>\nwhere the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 136.66 points<br \/>\n(0.90 per cent) to 14,996.48 on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>The Treasury also noted that the negative spillovers from an<br \/>\n\u201cunprecedented\u201d US default would \u201creverberate around the world\u201d<br \/>\nas \u201ccredit markets could freeze, the value of the dollar could<br \/>\nplummet, US interest rates could skyrocket.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The International Monetary Fund has also sounded the alarm over<br \/>\nthe American debt crisis, which is putting the world economy<br \/>\nunder threat.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Security officer Jarvis Landlum holds a sign informing people on the government shutdown of Alcatraz Island, a tourist attraction operated by the National Park Service, in San Francisco, California October 1, 2013. (Reuters\/Stephen Lam)\" src=\"http:\/\/rt.com\/files\/news\/20\/a6\/20\/00\/gggg-1.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>IMF chief Christine Lagarde stressed that it is <i>&#8220;mission<br \/>\ncritical&#8221;<\/i> to urgently find the way out of the stalemate \u2014 as<br \/>\nshe arrived in Washington for the next week&#8217;s IMF and World Bank<br \/>\nmeetings.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201cThe ongoing political uncertainty over the budget, over the<br \/>\ndebt ceiling doesn&#8217;t help. The government shutdown is bad enough,<br \/>\nbut failure to raise the debt ceiling would be far worse and<br \/>\ncould very seriously damage not only the US economy, but also the<br \/>\nentire global economy,\u201d<\/i> she said.<\/p>\n<p>According to Lagarde, the economic growth in the US has already<br \/>\nbeen hurt by excessive fiscal consolidation, and will be below 2<br \/>\npercent this year before rising by about 1 percentage point in<br \/>\n2014.<\/p>\n<p>Congressional action remains the only way to avoid the US<br \/>\ndefault, an unnamed Treasury official told the reporters.<\/p>\n<p>He stressed that the Treasury Department has no plans of using<br \/>\nthe Constitution&#8217;s 14th Amendment, which says that the validity<br \/>\nof the US public debt <i>\u201cshall not be questioned,\u201d<\/i> to get<br \/>\naround the debt limit.<\/p>\n<p>But there are no signs that the budget dispute will be solved<br \/>\nbefore being dragged into a second week, with all of the<br \/>\ngovernment&#8217;s non-essential workers sent home due to the<br \/>\nshutdown.<\/p>\n<p>Obama has refused to negotiate on raising the debt ceiling with<br \/>\nthe Republicans, saying that offering concessions would set a<br \/>\npoor precedent for future heads of the White House.<\/p>\n<p><i>&#8220;If we screw up, everybody gets screwed up. The whole world<br \/>\nwill have problems,&#8221;<\/i> he said in his emotional speech on<br \/>\nThursday, adding that the debt default would throw the US economy<br \/>\nback into a recession.<\/p>\n<p>The president stressed that Republican House Speaker John Boehner<br \/>\ncould bring the government back to work <i>\u201cin just five<br \/>\nminutes\u201d<\/i> by passing a temporary operating budget, but he&#8217;s<br \/>\nnot doing it because <i>\u201che doesn&#8217;t want to anger the extremists<br \/>\nin his party.\u201d<\/i><\/p>\n<p><i><br \/>\n&#8220;Take a vote, stop this farce and end this shutdown right<br \/>\nnow,&#8221;<\/i> he urged the Republicans.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Congress may pass a measure on Friday, which will<br \/>\nsee federal workers receive back pay for the period when they&#8217;ve<br \/>\nbeen out of the office due to government shutdown.<\/p>\n<p>Members of the House of Representatives and Senate have filed<br \/>\nbills that would ensure all federal employees receive retroactive<br \/>\npay for the duration they&#8217;ve been off work.<\/p>\n<p>Copyright: <a title=\"Debt doomsayer: Treasury forecasts \u2018back to 2008 recession or worse\u2019 if US defaults\" href=\"http:\/\/rt.com\/usa\/us-debt-default-treasury-730\/\" target=\"_blank\">RT<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US government default caused by the ongoing budget standoff in the Congress could have a &#8220;catastrophic\u201d effect on the country&#8217;s economy, which would be felt for decades, the Treasury Department said in report. The US government went on partial shutdown this Monday after the Democratic-led Senate turned down repeated efforts by the Republicans to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":75963,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[487,52,18],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-75962","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-breaking-news","8":"category-money","9":"category-latest-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75962"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75962\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75963"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75962"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}