{"id":204657,"date":"2015-11-30T18:30:21","date_gmt":"2015-11-30T18:30:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/newswire\/portugal-the-left-takes-charge\/"},"modified":"2015-11-30T18:30:21","modified_gmt":"2015-11-30T18:30:21","slug":"portugal-the-left-takes-charge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/newswire\/portugal-the-left-takes-charge\/","title":{"rendered":"Portugal: The Left Takes Charge"},"content":{"rendered":"<div readability=\"234.95028041415\">\n<div id=\"attachment_30397\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" readability=\"35\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30397\" src=\"http:\/\/fpif.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/Portugal-parliament-Matthew-Shugart-Flickr.jpg\" alt=\"Portugal is the victim of the great 2008 international banking crisis, which saw speculators drove up the price of borrowing beyond what the country\u2019s small economy could manage. (Photo: Matthew Shugart \/ Flickr Commons) \" width=\"640\" height=\"426\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Portugal is the victim of the great 2008 international banking crisis, which saw speculators drove up the price of borrowing beyond what the country\u2019s small economy could manage. Pictured: Portugal\u2019s parliament building. (Photo: Matthew Shugart \/ Flickr Commons)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After several weeks of political brinkmanship, Portugal\u2019s right-wing president, Anibal Cavaco Silva, finally backed off from his refusal to appoint the leader of a victorious left coalition as prime minister and accept the outcome of the Oct. 4 national elections. Silva\u2019s stand-down has ushered in an interesting coalition that may have continent-wide ramifications.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Portugal\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/fpif.org\/portugal-europes-left-batting-1-000\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">elections<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> saw three left parties\u2013the Socialist Party, the Left Bloc, and the Communist\/Green Alliance take 62 percent of the vote and end the right-wing Forward Portugal Party\u2019s majority in the 230-seat parliament. Forward Portugal is made up of the Social Democratic Party and the Popular Party.<\/span><span id=\"more-30396\"\/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even though Forward Portugal lost the election\u2013it emerged the largest party, but garnered only 38 percent of the votes\u2013Silva allowed its leader, former Prime Minister Passos Coelho, to form a government. That maneuver lasted just 11 days. When Coelho introduced a budget loaded with austerity measures and privatization schemes, the left alliance voted it down, forcing the government to resign.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rather than giving the left alliance a chance to form a government, however, Silva\u2013a former leader of the Social Democrats\u2013insisted that the alliance <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/portugals-president-wants-government-pledges-122646402.html\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/portugals-president-wants-government-pledges-122646402.html', 'pledge');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pledge<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in writing that it would maintain the country\u2019s role in NATO and commit itself to eurozone financial rules. Portugal is a member of the 19-country eurozone, those countries in the 28-member European Union that use the euro as a common currency. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Silva\u2019s threat was real. While the president\u2019s term only runs until January, the constitution requires a six-month delay between the appointment of a new president and fresh elections. It would have been eight months before the left alliance could take power and roll back some of the more onerous austerity measures that Forward Portugal had installed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the face of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ca.news.yahoo.com\/portugal-communist-leader-raps-president-over-delay-forming-164625437--business.html\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'https:\/\/ca.news.yahoo.com\/portugal-communist-leader-raps-president-over-delay-forming-164625437--business.html', 'growing outrage');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">growing outrage<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and a threatened general strike, however, Silva finally asked Socialist Party leader Antonio Costa to form a government.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Portugal is the victim of the great 2008 international banking crisis. At the time, Portugal\u2019s debt was small and its public spending modest, but speculators drove up the price of borrowing beyond what the country\u2019s small economy could manage. Through no fault of its own, Portugal suddenly found itself on the edge of bankruptcy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2011, the \u201cTroika\u201d\u2013the European Central Bank, the European Commission, and the International Monetary Fund\u2013lent Portugal $83 billion, but in exchange instituted an <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2015\/nov\/10\/portuguese-mps-force-minority-government-to-quit-over-austerity\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2015\/nov\/10\/portuguese-mps-force-minority-government-to-quit-over-austerity', 'austerity regime');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">austerity regime<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that raised taxes, slashed education and medical care, cut wages and pensions, and drove 20 percent of the population below the poverty line. The crisis forced almost half a million young people to emigrate, and Portugal ended up with one of the highest income disparities in Europe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The left alliance government is unprecedented in Portugal, where the Communists and the Socialists have locked horns since the 1974 Carnation Revolution overthrew the 48-year old dictatorship. But four years of austerity have apparently convinced everyone on the left that there needs to be some immediate relief.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Communists and the Left Bloc have <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/2015\/11\/24\/us-portugal-government-premier-idUSKBN0TD1CR20151124\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/2015\/11\/24\/us-portugal-government-premier-idUSKBN0TD1CR20151124', 'agreed');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">agreed<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to temporarily shelve their demands to exit NATO and the euro zone, and the Socialists have agreed to roll back austerity measures, cut taxes, and raise pensions and wages. Privatization will be on hold.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are still major differences within the alliance, however, and not just over dumping the euro and getting out of NATO. The Communists and Left Bloc want debt reduction because much of the country\u2019s encumbrances are the result of private speculators, not profligate public spending. The Socialists did not mention <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/0\/0dc91372-87bc-11e5-90de-f44762bf9896.html#axzz3sYrB4hQZ\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/0\/0dc91372-87bc-11e5-90de-f44762bf9896.html#axzz3sYrB4hQZ', 'debt reduction');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">debt reduction<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> during the election and, at least for now, seem committed to repaying all debts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the new government is pledged to loosen austerity\u2019s grip and to challenge the Troika\u2019s tight-fisted formula for economic recovery with one based on economic stimulus. If successful, that could model a <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/portugal-set-experiment-anti-austerity-policies-104237660.html\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/portugal-set-experiment-anti-austerity-policies-104237660.html', 'new strategy');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">new strategy<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for the rest of Europe, where, in spite of years of austerity, economies are still sluggish or in recession.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even in countries that show growth, the rate is relative. Spain, for instance, is growing at a respectable 3 percent, but unemployment is over 20 percent\u2013close to 50 percent for young people\u2013and its gross domestic product has still not reached pre-2008 levels. Wages have declined in nine out of 14 quarters. According to <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/0\/74f9e24e-77de-11e5-933d-efcdc3c11c89.html#axzz3sYrB4hQZ\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/0\/74f9e24e-77de-11e5-933d-efcdc3c11c89.html#axzz3sYrB4hQZ', 'Simon Tilford');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Simon Tilford<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of the Center for European Reform, Spain\u2019s recovery is not due to austerity, but rather, to low interest rates, the declining value of the euro, and a worldwide fall in oil prices. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Certainly the new Portuguese government will not be welcomed by Madrid, where the declining popularity of the right-wing Popular Party\u2019s threatens its control of the Spanish Parliament. It is not unlikely that the Dec. 20 elections in Spain will produce a very similar outcome to Portugal\u2019s: <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/no-one-helm-portugal-faces-instability-strife-072008284.html\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/no-one-helm-portugal-faces-instability-strife-072008284.html', 'the Popular Party');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Popular Party<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> will lose its majority to the center-left Socialist Party and the left Podemos Party. Whether that will result in the kind of coalition that Portugal\u2019s left has stitched together is not clear, in part because the centrist Citizen\u2019s Party is a bit of a wild card and there are complex politics around Catalan independence.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, even if the smaller Spanish parties cannot unite a la Portugal, they will put the brakes on the Popular Party\u2019s austerity policies and its push to <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/11\/06\/world\/europe\/as-spains-media-industry-changes-rapidly-some-worry-about-objectivity.html?_r=0\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/11\/06\/world\/europe\/as-spains-media-industry-changes-rapidly-some-worry-about-objectivity.html?_r=0', 'muzzle the media');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">muzzle the media<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and curtail mass demonstrations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Portuguese model may end up having an influence on the rest of the European left, where conversations are going on about how to begin moving the continent away from the policies of the Troika. There are at least two <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/portside.org\/2015-10-17\/european-left-debates-plan-b-against-austerity\" onclick=\"__gaTracker('send', 'event', 'outbound-article', 'http:\/\/portside.org\/2015-10-17\/european-left-debates-plan-b-against-austerity', 'major currents');\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">major currents<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0now engaging the left, the so-called \u201cPlan A\u201d and \u201cPlan B.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Plan A\u2013supported by the United European Left\/Nordic Green Alliance, the group representing the left parties in the European parliament\u2013calls for democratizing the European Union and the European Central Bank, taxing the rich, raising wages, funding social services, and creating jobs through public investment. Plan A is backed by Spain\u2019s Podemos, Greece\u2019s Syriza, and Germany\u2019s Die Linke (Left Party).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Plan B was launched Sept. 11 by five key figures in the European left\u2013Oskar Lafontaine, a former leader of Die Linke, Italian parliamentary deputy Stefano Fassina, Jean-Luc Melenchon of France\u2019s Left Party, and two former Syriza leaders, Zoe Kostntopoulou and Yanis Varoufakis. Plan B is somewhat more nebulous than Plan A, and not everyone who advocates it is on the same page. While it doesn\u2019t contradict Plan A, most of its advocates are not sure the EU is really reformable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to Liam Flenady of <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Green Left Weekly,<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the September call \u201cremains intentionally open to what this Plan B could look like.\u201d For one thing, it comes off sounding a little wonky: \u201cParallel payment systems, parallel currencies, digitization of euro transactions, community based exchange systems\u2026euro exit and transformation of the euro into a common currency.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not all of the five left figures are in agreement. Varoufakis, Greece\u2019s former finance minister, is for staying with the euro, while the Italian Fassina is not. No one openly attacks Syriza, but most supported Popular Unity, the anti-euro split from Syriza that failed to win any seats in the last Greek election.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A Plan B summit is set for the end of the year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The disagreements between\u2013and within\u2013the plans reflect the enormous complexity of the task facing Europe\u2019s left, including how to present a united front while still searching for solutions that are not obvious. Is trying to democratize the euro zone like teaching a pig to whistle: can\u2019t be done and annoys the pig? Can a country withdraw from a common currency zone without the Troika destroying its economy? Do countries within the eurozone have the right to experiment with different economic strategies?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Greece was forced to swallow the Troika\u2019s medicine, in part because Syriza assumed that the Troika was essentially rational and actually interested in resolving the crisis. It was not, because the Troika saw Syriza\u2019s resistance as the precursor to a continent-wide movement against its austerity policies.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Portugal is charting a somewhat different path than Syriza. Instead of head-on confrontation, the left is trying to maneuver while strengthening its base by improving people\u2019s lives. \u00a0Disagreements will eventually surface\u2013hardly an unhealthy thing\u2013but the Portuguese alliance has decided to kick that can down the road.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On Nov. 20, the Portuguese united left used its majority to approve a law allowing same sex couples to legally adopt children and permit lesbians to obtain medically assisted fertilization. That little act hardly shakes the foundation of the EU, and one doubts it caused the Troika to tremble. But suddenly Portugal is a little bit kinder place than it was a month ago.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Small things can lead to big things.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>This piece was reprinted from <a href=\"http:\/\/fpif.org\/portugal-left-takes-charge\/\">Foreign Policy In Focus<\/a> by <a href=\"http:\/\/rinf.com\">RINF Alternative News<\/a> with permission. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Portugal is the victim of the great 2008 international banking crisis, which saw speculators drove up the price of borrowing beyond what the country\u2019s small economy could manage. Pictured: Portugal\u2019s parliament building. (Photo: Matthew Shugart \/ Flickr Commons) After several weeks of political brinkmanship, Portugal\u2019s right-wing president, Anibal Cavaco Silva, finally backed off from his [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":204658,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[519],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-204657","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-newswire"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/204657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=204657"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/204657\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/204658"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=204657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=204657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=204657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}