US economic growth will slow steadily in coming quarters after touching a four-year high in April-June, according to a Reuters poll of economists, who expect President Donald Trump’s trade war to inflict damage.
Boosted in part by $1.5 trillion of tax cuts passed late last year, the US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.1 percent in the second quarter, its strongest performance in nearly four years.
But the latest poll of more than 100 economists taken August 13-21 showed they expect the US economy to lose momentum and to end next year growing at less than half that rate.
The US economy was forecast to grow 3 percent in the current quarter and 2.7 percent in the next, a slight upgrade from the previous poll.
But the short-term boost to growth from tax cuts was expected to wane. Economists trimmed their growth projections across most quarters next year leaving the outlook broadly unchanged and vulnerable to the trade conflict with…