{"id":374733,"date":"2018-08-24T17:19:09","date_gmt":"2018-08-24T16:19:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/newswire\/can-donald-trump-unite-the-world-against-himself\/"},"modified":"2018-08-24T17:19:09","modified_gmt":"2018-08-24T16:19:09","slug":"can-donald-trump-unite-the-world-against-himself","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/newswire\/can-donald-trump-unite-the-world-against-himself\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Donald Trump Unite the World (Against Himself)?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/p>\n

One thing already seems clear in the Trump era: the world will not turn out to be the American president\u2019s playground.\u00a0 His ultra-unilateralist, rejectionist policies on trade, the Iran denuclearization agreement, the costs of defense, and climate change are already creating an incipient anti-Trump movement globally (and in the United States as well). To a remarkable degree, the countries he has targeted are banding together to oppose him and his policies.\u00a0 That still inchoate but gathering opposition assures that, whatever Donald Trump\u2019s view of America may be, it is no longer — in the phrase coined<\/a> 20 years ago by Secretary of State Madeleine Albright — the \u201cindispensable nation.\u201d Abroad or even at home, with the president facing increasingly strong headwinds on climate change at the state and local level, we\u2019re entering a new world order on the heels of the collapsed American domination of the past three-quarters of a century.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s consider the opposition Trump has generated on an issue-by-issue basis.<\/p>\n

Cross-Border Trade<\/strong><\/p>\n

In January 2017, on his first day in office, President Trump promptly withdrew the United States from the long-negotiated 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) pact, deeply disappointing among others a close ally, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. He had assiduously curried favor with Trump as soon as he was elected, on and off the golf course. \u00a0A day earlier in January, Abe had even succeeded in getting his own parliament to approve the agreement.<\/p>\n

But in an act by Washington\u2019s allies unprecedented in the last seven decades, Abe, along with the leaders of the 10 other countries in that pact — Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam — refused<\/a> to take Trump\u2019s executive order as TPP\u2019s death sentence.\u00a0 Instead, in a groundbreaking step into a new world, they resumed negotiations on the pact in the Chilean city of Vi\u00f1a del Mar.<\/p>\n

This March, after months of deliberation, they signed<\/a> the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership in Chile\u2019s capital city, Santiago. For the signatories, it reduces tariffs drastically, while introducing sweeping new trade rules in markets covering half a billion people on either side of the Pacific Ocean.<\/p>\n

This was a landmark event, inaugurating an era in which countries long accustomed to following cues from Washington forged ahead without its participation. In doing so, they rejected Trump\u2019s view of trade as a zero-sum game, consisting of winners and losers. Reflecting the common perception of the signatories, Chilean President Michelle Bachelet said<\/a>, \u201cWe need to stay on the course of globalization, yet learning from our past mistakes.\u201d<\/p>\n

Bachelet\u2019s view was shared by Abe, who leads the country with the third largest economy<\/a> in the world. Japan is a key player in global trade. So, too, is the 28-member European Union<\/a> (EU) whose aggregate gross domestic product ($17.278 trillion) far exceeds Japan\u2019s ($4.872 trillion).<\/p>\n

Soon after recovering from Trump\u2019s TPP exit, Abe decided to revive<\/a> his country\u2019s stalled free-trade talks with the EU. Their shared disapproval of the American president\u2019s trade policy led the two sides to rapidly overcome their differences. In July 2017, Abe formally agreed to an outline of a free-trade deal with European Council President Donald Tusk and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker.\u00a0 By so doing, the EU and Japan, highly developed democracies, made clear their commitment to the liberal, free-trading, rules-based international order, which runs counter to Trump\u2019s worldview.<\/p>\n

In July 2018 in Brussels, the European Union and Japan inked<\/a> the globe\u2019s largest free-trade deal, the Economic Partnership Agreement. Remarkably, it covers almost a third of the globe\u2019s gross domestic product and 600 million people. Toshimitsu Motegi, Japan\u2019s minister for economic revitalization, summed<\/a> up the situation in this way: \u201cThe signing of the Japan-EU deal today will show the world once again our unwavering political will to promote free trade.\u201d Juncker was even more upbeat.\u00a0 \u201c[The] impact of today’s agreement goes far beyond our shores,” he said. “We are showing that we are stronger and better off when we work together. And we are leading by example, showing that trade is about more than tariffs and barriers. It is about values, principles, and finding win-win solutions for all those concerned.\u201d<\/p>\n

For the first time since the end of World War II, Washington\u2019s allies in the West as well as the East thumbed their noses at an American president. \u00a0That made it a truly historic event.<\/p>\n

The EU Goes Head to Head With Trump<\/strong><\/p>\n

In May, when Donald Trump exited the multilateral Iran denuclearization deal endorsed by the United Nations Security Council, Juncker was equally strident in his criticism of him. The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which had been signed in July 2015 by six world powers (America, Britain, China, France, Germany, and Russia) and the EU, was being implemented as specified in the document. Yet Trump announced the reimposition of the American sanctions that had been in place before the JCPOA. These covered Iran\u2019s energy, banking, and other sectors, and included a provision penalizing foreign businesses worldwide that continued trading with or investing in Iran.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

The American president\u2019s 11-minute TV address explaining his decision ignored the 10 quarterly reports by inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency confirming that Iran was in compliance with the pact. Altogether his address contained 10<\/a> false or misleading statements, including the howler that Iran was on the \u201ccusp of acquiring the world\u2019s most dangerous weapons.\u201d<\/p>\n

Before launching economic warfare against Tehran, Trump had alienated the EU by\u00a0refusing to grant<\/a> it an exemption from steel and aluminum tariffs he started imposing on China and other countries in March. An American president is authorized to take such action only to protect \u201cnational security.\u201d EU officials argued, to no avail, that their bloc was an ally of the United States and so, by definition, not a national security threat.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are witnessing today a new phenomenon: the capricious assertiveness of the American administration,\u201d Tusk said<\/a>, on the eve of an EU summit in Sofia, Bulgaria, in mid-May. \u201cLooking at the latest decisions of President Trump, some could even think, \u2018With friends like that, who needs enemies?\u2019\u201d At that meeting, EU members agreed unanimously to stick to the JCPOA as long as Iran agreed to do the same.<\/p>\n

On August 7th, U.S. sanctions went into effect on any financial transactions involving American dollars relating to Iran\u2019s automotive sector, purchases of commercial planes, and metals, including gold. The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, immediately instructed<\/a> European companies not to comply with Washington\u2019s demand to cease trading with Iran. Those firms deciding to pull out would require the EU\u2019s authorization to do so. The commission went on to set up a mechanism that would allow firms affected by the sanctions to sue the American government in the national courts of member states.<\/p>\n

Russia and China, co-signatories to the JCPOA, concurred with the EU.\u00a0 \u201cWe are deeply disappointed by U.S. steps to reimpose its national sanctions against Iran,\u201d said<\/a> the Russian foreign ministry. \u201cThis is a clear example of Washington violating U.N. resolution 2231 [on the Iran deal] and international law.\u201d China\u2019s foreign ministry also regretted<\/a> Washington\u2019s decision and urged all involved parties to stay on track for full implementation of the 2015 accord.<\/p>\n

The unanimously adopted Security Council Resolution 2231, passed under Chapter VII of the U.N. Charter, had endorsed the Iran denuclearization pact, making it part of international law. It included a call for<\/a> \u201cpromoting and facilitating the development of normal economic and trade contacts and cooperation with Iran.\u201d<\/p>\n

As if brazenly violating international law weren\u2019t enough, the Trump administration decided to penalize<\/a> U.N. member states for abiding by that resolution — a frontal attack on a rules-based international order. Fearing U.S. sanctions, some European companies had already backed off<\/a> their Iranian investments and trade before August 7th. Consider that an apt illustration of a Trumpian world in which it\u2019s the lawbreaker who punishes the law-abiding.<\/p>\n

Trump on NATO<\/strong><\/p>\n

As a businessman occupying the White House, Donald Trump has introduced a profit-and-loss paradigm to foreign policy — be it cross-border trade or military budgets. That helps explain his continual drumbeat of criticism about how other NATO members are not spending enough on defense.<\/p>\n

At the July NATO summit in Brussels, Trump was implacable on that issue, summing up his position in this way<\/a> to CBS News: \u201cMany of those countries are in NATO and they weren’t paying their bills.” A typical Trumpian claim, it bore no relation to reality.\u00a0 As German Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen explained<\/a>, \u201cNATO does not have a debt account.\u201d<\/p>\n

Apparently, the president confused direct and indirect contributions to NATO. In 2017, NATO\u2019s budget was $1.652 billion. Member states contribute<\/a> according to an agreed-upon formula related to a country\u2019s GDP. The U.S. contributes 22.14% of that budget, Germany 14.65%, France 10.63%, and Britain 9.84%. All paid on time.<\/p>\n

Then there are indirect contributions<\/a> to NATO. These are related to how much equipment and manpower a member state volunteers to a certain military operation, of which the best known at the moment continues to be the U.S.-led war in Afghanistan launched after the 9\/11 attacks almost 17 years ago. In order to facilitate and encourage such contributions, NATO leaders agreed in 2014 to increase their spending on defense to at least 2% of their GDP by 2024<\/a>. Many are on course to do so. Recently, however, Trump upped the ante, suggesting that the figure be 4%<\/a>, a goal even the U.S., with by far the largest military budget in the world, does not now reach.<\/p>\n

Currently, the U.S. is spending<\/a> 3.6% of its GDP on its military. That amounts to $683 billion (and the military budget Trump just signed raised that to $717 billion<\/a>), or 71% of total NATO defense spending. That is what led the American president to describe<\/a> the present situation as \u201cdisproportionate and not fair to the taxpayers of the United States.\u201d Unsurprisingly, Trump failed to compare like with like. Defense of country is normally defined in terms of a possible aggressor. In that sense, the European members of NATO are focused on Russia. Collectively, NATO\u2019s EU members spend<\/a> $254 billion on defense, or 10 times Russia\u2019s $24.2 billion defense budget.<\/p>\n

By contrast, since the end of World War II, the Pentagon has equipped itself to fight wars across the world and dominate both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. That explains why, of the 20 aircraft carriers in service around the globe, 10 belong<\/a> to its navy. Constructing an aircraft carrier takes years and is hugely expensive, apart from the support ships it needs to form a complete carrier task force.\u00a0 But as a well-armed, aircraft-equipped, floating part of sovereign U.S. territory, powered by dual nuclear reactors, it is unmatched in its lethal power. This is what led former defense secretary William Cohen to state<\/a> that, without \u201cflattops,\u201d the United States would have \u201cless of a voice, less of an influence.\u201d<\/p>\n

In stark contrast, among Washington\u2019s European allies, Britain has just one<\/a> aircraft carrier, as does France<\/a>. Notably, their carriers rarely steam past the Horn of Africa or the Persian Gulf.<\/p>\n

Britain is already past the 2% mark for defense spending and France is just .2% short of the agreed-upon target. Since May of last year, France has been governed by 40-year-old President Emmanuel Macron, a staunch advocate of the closer integration, financially and otherwise, of EU members. \u00a0In a September 2017 speech, he floated the idea of a joint enterprise to allow Europe\u2019s militaries to coordinate and react swiftly together.\u00a0 As a result, this June, ministers from Belgium, Britain, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Spain, and Portugal signed<\/a> a letter of intent in Luxembourg to form the European Intervention Initiative (EII).\u00a0 It would exist outside the EU\u2019s structures and be focused on joint planning for future natural disasters, crisis intervention, and the evacuation of citizens from hostile countries, among other things.<\/p>\n

At present, its aims remain modest, but the key point is simple.\u00a0 The principle that European militaries should act collectively without the involvement of the Pentagon is to be put into practice.\u00a0 That is likely to prove but one more step on the path toward turning Albright\u2019s indispensable nation into an increasingly dispensable America. If Donald Trump or his successor persists in weakening NATO, he or she will only encourage the Europeans to build on the EII concept.<\/p>\n

A Climate-Denying President Is Rebuffed at Home<\/strong><\/p>\n

As a global opposition to Donald Trump begins to form, on one issue, climate change — that affects all humanity — a distinctly American opposition is preparing to join the growing international one.\u00a0 In June 2017, Trump withdrew from the Paris climate agreement, while appointing<\/a> an unparalleled crew of climate-change deniers to his administration and reneging on President Barack Obama\u2019s pledge<\/a> by 2025 to reduce America\u2019s greenhouse gas emissions by 26% to 28% (from 2005 levels).<\/p>\n

To the relief of most of the planet\u2019s inhabitants, Trump\u2019s withdrawal proved to be a solo act, with the remaining 194 signatories remaining firmly on board. Their representatives were among the 3,000 diplomats and observers who assembled<\/a> in Bonn, Germany, in May to deliberate on giving the agreement further clout. To the consternation of the Trump administration, the next crucial meeting, a Global Climate Action Summit,\u00a0will take place in September –and guess where? — \u00a0in California.<\/p>\n

That state\u2019s governor, Jerry Brown, has been a key figure <\/a>in rallying support for the Paris Accord and opposition to Trump\u2019s climate-change deniers at the state and local levels. Along with<\/a> former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg, Brown has sponsored the We Are Still In coalition. In November 2017, the two of them published a remarkable report<\/a> showing that cities, states, and businesses representing more than half of the U.S. economy and population had declared their support for the agreement. \u201cIf these non-federal actors were a country,\u201d it pointed out, \u201ctheir economy would be the third largest in the world, bigger than all but two national parties to the Paris Agreement.\u201d<\/p>\n

In his withdrawal statement, Trump stated<\/a> that \u201cthe United States will cease all implementation of the nonbinding Paris accord and the draconian financial and economic burdens the agreement imposes on our country.\u201d That accord\u2019s main aim was to keep the global temperature rise below 2 degrees centigrade from the preindustrial level. \u201cI was elected to represent the citizens of Pittsburgh, not Paris,\u201d Trump added.\u00a0 Within a few hours, Pittsburgh Mayor Bill Peduto tweeted back<\/a>, \u201cI can assure you that we will follow the guidelines of the Paris Agreement for our people, our economy & future.\u201d<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh is one of 405 municipalities<\/a> representing 70 million Americans that have signed on to a Climate Mayors initiative, which has only grown in the past year. More than 80 American cities — even some, like San Diego, run by Republicans — have committed to a future of 100% renewable energy. In fact, Trump\u2019s decision actually spurred some cities to make new efforts to accelerate the pace of change. New York decided<\/a> to electrify its bus fleet and pledged to divest from fossil fuels, while suing the world\u2019s largest oil corporations for their role in escalating sea-level rise, heat waves, and other natural disasters. It also promised to abandon coal-fired electricity, as did Los Angeles.<\/p>\n

Donald Trump is not going to change.\u00a0 He has declared his intention to seek reelection in 2020 and will continue to nurture his base by endlessly demonstrating his version of Make America Great Again. The 54 million<\/a> followers he has on Twitter generally seem to applaud the macho bluster with which he conducts his bouts of disruptive diplomacy. So don\u2019t expect him to moderate either his ultra-unilateralist policies or the style in which he delivers them.<\/p>\n

The question for the future is this: To what extent can the incipient anti-Trump movement globally and domestically coalesce in ways that will set our world on a new course — one that will make Donald Trump and his Washington cronies the dinosaurs of Planet Earth?
<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Via Common Dreams<\/a>. This piece was reprinted by RINF Alternative News<\/a> with permission or license.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

One thing already seems clear in the Trump era: the world will not turn out to be the American president\u2019s playground.\u00a0 His ultra-unilateralist, rejectionist policies on trade, the Iran denuclearization agreement, the costs of defense, and climate change are already creating an incipient anti-Trump movement globally (and in the United States as well). To a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":374734,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[519],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-374733","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-newswire"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374733","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=374733"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374733\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/374734"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=374733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=374733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=374733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}