{"id":31169,"date":"2013-03-27T18:05:43","date_gmt":"2013-03-27T17:05:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/?p=31169"},"modified":"2013-03-27T18:05:43","modified_gmt":"2013-03-27T17:05:43","slug":"cyprus-postmortems","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/latest-news\/cyprus-postmortems\/","title":{"rendered":"Cyprus Postmortems"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Stephen Lendman<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rinf.com\"><strong>RINF Alternative News<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31170\" alt=\"Cyprus crisis protestor\" src=\"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/03\/Cyprus-crisis.jpg\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" srcset=\"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/03\/Cyprus-crisis.jpg 460w, http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/03\/Cyprus-crisis-75x45.jpg 75w, http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/03\/Cyprus-crisis-150x90.jpg 150w, http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/03\/Cyprus-crisis-383x230.jpg 383w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 460px) 100vw, 460px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Solutions worse than problems don&#8217;t resolve them. Cypriots face protracted hard times. Former IMF chief economist Michael Mussa explained three kinds of crises: liquidity, solvency and stupidity.<\/p>\n<p>BoomBustBlog&#8217;s Reggie Middleton says &#8220;economic depression is the new success.&#8221; It&#8217;s the new normal. Scoundrel media reports downplay the damage done.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The danger of Cyprus&#8217; bankruptcy (and) tragic consequences for the economy and society are just getting started.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Eurocrats lied. They claim &#8220;boiling slowly in a pot of austerity flavored depression is preferable to a quick and clean exit and rebirth.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Ready! Set! Bank Run!!!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Cyprus reflects a watershed moment. Confiscating personal wealth becomes official government policy. Eurocrats and Cypriot officials bypassed parliament. Ordinary people had no say.<\/p>\n<p>Euro Group head Jeroen Dijsselbloem said extracting wealth from depositors becomes a model for other troubled economies. He left no doubt what he means. He wants grand theft made official policy.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If there is a risk in a bank, our first question should be &#8216;Okay, what are you in the bank going to do about that,&#8221; he asked? &#8220;What can you do to recapitalize yourself?&#8217; &#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If the bank can\u2019t do it, then we&#8217;ll talk to the shareholders and the bondholders. We&#8217;ll ask them to contribute in recapitalizing the bank, and if necessary the uninsured deposit holders.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The consequences may be that it\u2019s the end of story, and that is an approach that I think, now that we are out of the heat of the crisis, we should take.&#8221; According to<\/p>\n<p>According to Karl Denninger:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;When you enter into an investment, whether you make a deposit in a bank or buy a bond or something else, you are buying into a capital structure in a given place with a given and declared level of both risk and potential reward.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You price that risk and your willingness to enter into the transaction with the full understanding of where you are in that capital structure.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;When that is unilaterally changed retroactively you are being stolen from.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Period.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s &#8220;wrong.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s &#8220;actionable. It remains (so) whether the courts recognize it or not, just as theft from a drug dealer is actionable even though the dealer cannot go to the police and report the fact that you stole his stash because what he&#8217;s doing is illegal.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Goodnight Europe.&#8221; Cyprus established a &#8220;template.&#8221; It&#8217;s unprecedented. Other troubled Eurozone countries may follow. Perhaps they all will. America also. It can happen anywhere.<\/p>\n<p>Financial theft today is commonplace. It&#8217;s frequent and severe. Everyone&#8217;s harmed directly or indirectly.<\/p>\n<p>Cypriot banks won&#8217;t open until March 28. Perhaps they&#8217;ll stay closed longer. Bank holidays can last longer than expected.<\/p>\n<p>Bank of Cyprus (BOC) is the island state&#8217;s largest bank. On March 26, chairman Adreas Artemi resigned. He cited differences with central bank policy.<\/p>\n<p>It relates to recapitalizing BOC. The Central Bank of Cyprus appointed an administrator without the board&#8217;s knowledge. Artemi said the central bank had recapitalization plans ready in January. It didn&#8217;t tell board members.<\/p>\n<p>On March 26, Cyprus Mail headlined &#8220;Eurogroup deal designed to kill off Cyprus, not cure it,&#8221; saying:<\/p>\n<p>A so-called &#8220;best possible deal\u2026.will push us into a prolonged slump that will shrink the economy beyond recognition, as businesses will close down and the numbers of the unemployed will keep rising.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Businesses will lose considerable capital. They&#8217;ll be unable to operate and pay creditors.<\/p>\n<p>Confidence in Cypriot banking was &#8220;shattered.&#8221; Other Eurozone countries are affected.<\/p>\n<p>Months earlier, Eurocrats said Cyprus&#8217; public debt was sustainable. In July 2011, its three largest banks (BOC, Laiki and Hellenic Bank) passed an European Banking Authority (EBA) &#8211; European Central Bank (ECB) stress test.<\/p>\n<p>Results were rigged to hide trouble. Nicosia&#8217;s Finance Ministry said measures banks took or planned increase their solvency. Government officials stand ready to do whatever it takes to maintain financial stability.<\/p>\n<p>Cypriot troubles were suppressed. &#8220;IMF, Eurogroup and Commission members&#8221; lied. Sustainability is impossible &#8220;now that they have killed off all economic prospects for the next five to ten years.&#8221; Most likely it&#8217;ll be much longer.<\/p>\n<p>Financial Times contributor Ben Hall headlined &#8220;Six ways Cyprus has hurt the eurozone,&#8221; saying:<\/p>\n<p>Bailout terms did &#8220;serious harm to the eurozone, and further undermined the credibility of its crisis response.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Deposits are no longer safe. Authorities can order them confiscated.<\/p>\n<p>Capital flight is more likely. Depositors worried about safety will exit post haste.<\/p>\n<p>Cyprus and other Eurozone countries have unsustainable debt. Bailouts increase it.<\/p>\n<p>Troika officials are &#8220;disunited\u2026.The Commission bears responsibility for backing a levy on insured deposits.&#8221; Doing so lost trust.<\/p>\n<p>Cyprus&#8217; political process failed. &#8220;The fact that the bailout deal requires the approval of eurozone parliaments but not (Cyprus legislators) raises questions about democratic legitimacy.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Power brokers gave Cyprus few options. Germany wants things its way. It wants its burden offloaded on ordinary people.<\/p>\n<p>FT&#8217;s Lex headlined &#8220;Cyprus: crossing the green line. Ham-fisted &#8216;rescue&#8217; could have serious long-term consequences.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Overnight, Cyprus has become an offshore banking centre without a banking system.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The &#8220;rescue&#8221; deal &#8220;devastate(s) the Cypriot economy.&#8221; It&#8217;s baffling how a small country &#8220;caused so much trouble.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Capital controls make a bank run likely when lifted. Cyprus remains a Eurozone country. Angry people face disaster. They&#8217;re hung out to dry with no recourse.<\/p>\n<p>PIMCO&#8217;s Mohamed El-Erian calls implementing Cyprus&#8217;s deal &#8220;very challenging.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It may prove mission impossible. Eurocrats haven&#8217;t addressed what&#8217;s most important: &#8220;how to improve growth and employment prospects in a significant and sustainable manner.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>If fully implemented, bailout terms avoid imminent financial collapse. They do so at great cost.<\/p>\n<p>Ordinary Cypriots will be harmed most. Economic conditions will contract sharply. Challenges are significant.<\/p>\n<p>They won&#8217;t &#8220;be overcome easily and immediately.&#8221; They won&#8217;t &#8220;enhance Cyprus&#8217; ability to grow and create jobs.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Dismantling its offshore financial industry &#8220;loses an important driver of domestic activity.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;(N)o one should underestimate the social costs and related risk of political dysfunction and protests.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Deal terms destroy corporate working capital and domestic wealth. Solutions do more harm than good.<\/p>\n<p>It remains to be seen what follows. Longterm pain is no substitute for short-term relief.<\/p>\n<p>Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago. He can be reached at lendmanstephen@sbcglobal.net.<\/p>\n<p>His new book is titled &#8220;Banker Occupation: Waging Financial War on Humanity.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>http:\/\/www.claritypress.com\/LendmanII.html<\/p>\n<p>Visit his blog site at sjlendman.blogspot.com.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Solutions worse than problems don&#8217;t resolve them. Cypriots face protracted hard times. Former IMF chief economist Michael Mussa explained three kinds of crises: liquidity, solvency and stupidity.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":31170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[56],"class_list":{"0":"post-31169","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-latest-news","8":"tag-stephen-lendman"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31169\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}