{"id":256981,"date":"2016-07-20T14:21:19","date_gmt":"2016-07-20T14:21:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/newswire\/turkey-distances-itself-from-the-u-s-and-nato\/"},"modified":"2016-07-20T15:58:37","modified_gmt":"2016-07-20T15:58:37","slug":"turkey-distances-itself-from-the-u-s-and-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/latest-news\/turkey-distances-itself-from-the-u-s-and-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Turkey Distances Itself From the U.S. and NATO"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"President<\/p>\n

President Erdogan is pursuing ethnically narrow, Turkish-chauvinist, domestic and foreign policy. (Photo: Russia Today)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Cross-posted from <\/em>View from the Left Bank<\/em><\/a>. <\/em><\/p>\n

Some Background<\/strong><\/p>\n

The aftershocks of the failed military coup in Turkey are resonating. Nearly 2,500 upper level military personnel, including more than 100 generals sacked and many arrested. 6,000 members of the judiciary, who sometimes challenged Tayyip Erdogan\u2019s policies, fired along with 8,000 Turkish policemen. Several hundred people were killed, thousands wounded.<\/p>\n

While considerable confusion remains concerning the origins of the recent Turkish coup attempt, the geopolitical outlines of where \u201cpost-coup\u201d Turkey is\u00a0headed are coming into focus.\u00a0A little background on the flurry of Turkey\u2019s diplomatic initiatives that preceded the recent \u201ccoup attempt\u201d are in order. As they were intense suggesting that a shift in Turkey\u2019s political posture was in order. Besides initiating an extensive purge of the Turkish military and judiciary, Turkish President Erdogan appears to be setting Turkish regional political posture on a new direction.<\/p>\n

Erdogan is pursuing an ethnically narrow, Turkish chauvinist domestic and foreign policy. The repression at home is closely connected to his regional foreign policy initiatives that are taking shape. His domestic moves come in the aftermath of the crackdown of some regional allies, the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood and the Ennahda party of Tunisia. In the face of growing opposition because of chronic mismanagement, Ennahda, essentially the Tunisian branch of the Muslim Brotherhood, was forced to retrench and cede some of its power. In part, Erdogan\u2019s current violent crackdown on dissent can be seen as a kind of pre-emptive move, an effort to deny the military an opportunity at some later date to seize power a la Egypt. At first glance it appears that the repression has succeeded, at least in the short run.<\/p>\n

From all appearances, domestically Turkey under Erdogan, never that openly democratic a place, has become that much more authoritarian over the past two years. Freedom of press has been severely repressed with journalists arrested. After what looked like a political settlement with the country\u2019s Kurds was in the making, Erdogan backed away and has treated the country\u2019s largest minority with increasing repression that has included several massacres of Kurdish villages in the southeast.<\/p>\n

More recently Erdogan pushed through legislation in the Turkish parliament that eliminates immunity for parliament members from persecution, opening the door to crack down on the country\u2019s main opposition party, the Republican People\u2019s Party, which brings together different strands of Turkey\u2019s democratic movement. It is as if Erdogan was preparing for something even bigger, a \u201csomething\u201d that became more obvious in the aftermath of the attempted coup when a wholesale wave of repression (see below) was unleashed.<\/p>\n

Erdogan has pursued a domestic heavy hand in order to eliminate opposition to his regional policy whose outlines include denying the Kurds of Syria any opportunity to become an independent state, refocusing Turkey\u2019s regional policy somewhat away from Europe and NATO. The shift entails making overtures, strengthening relations with a number of regional powers, especially Iran, Russia and Israel.<\/p>\n

By all appearances, Turkey is starting to distance itself from Washington and NATO \u2014 the question is to what extent. To what degree will this affect the presence of one of Washington\u2019s main military bases, Incirlik, in the southeastern corner of Turkey?\u00a0It is easy for too many to forget that the United States has hydrogen and atomic bombs at Incirlik and that when there is turmoil the shadow of nuclear war is not far away.\u00a0It is estimated that as many as 80 nuclear weapons, both hydrogen and atomic bombs are housed there in striking distance of most of the Middle East and southern Russia<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Keep in mind that in the recent decade the United States has had a difficult time \u201creigning in\u201d its regional allies. Supposed allies in the war in Afghanistan, Pakistan and the United States were behind the scenes at each other\u2019s throats as the Pakistani intelligence agency gave support to the Taliban (and still does) that U.S.-led armies were trying to defeat.<\/p>\n

The Obama Administration\u2019s relations with two other strategic allies, Israel and Saudi Arabia, are extremely strained, most recently over the Obama Administration\u2019s support for the Iran nuclear deal which basically short-circuited any pipedreams that Washington was preparing military intervention against Teheran which both the Saudis and Israelis supported. The personal relations between Obama and Netanyahu, and Obama and the royal family have never been worse. Perhaps that means less than meets the eye with the US Congress\u00a0voting record-breaking military aid to Israel and the administration selling enormous amounts of arms to the Saudis.<\/p>\n

The strategic alliances remain in place,\u00a0but not without historically unprecedented strains\u00a0<\/em>as Israel, Saudi Arabia and now Turkey embrace, each in their own manner, their own narrow, jingoistic regional nationalist goals which bode ill for the people of Yemen, the Palestinians in the Occupied Territories, and more generally, regional peace. These are three countries with strong militaries; all have expansionist regional goals that sooner or later are bound to collide against one another.<\/p>\n

They all understand that today, the United States \u2013 despite its military might \u2013 is politically weaker and cannot dictate policy as it did in the past. These same countries also understand that U.S. Syria policy is in shambles and it is about to backfire on their national territories, either in terms of increased terrorist activities, unmanageable refugee problems or some combination thereof.<\/p>\n

Turkey and Syria<\/strong><\/p>\n

As one columnist aptly put it\u00a0\u201cPost-Coup Turkey will be distinctly Eurasian<\/a>.\u201d Having been repeatedly rebuffed in its efforts to join the European Community \u2013 which in the end is the result of little more than European racism against a Muslim country \u2013 Turkey is \u201cturning east.\u201d At the same time tensions between Ankara and Washington over Syrian policy have essentially boiled over, over the Kurdish question.<\/p>\n

All this is playing out in both Syria and Iraq at the present moment where the alliance of forces involved is shifting, if not coming apart. Turkey has been a key link in the Syrian crisis, providing an open gateway to Syrian Islamic rebels entering Syria from the north, that included military, political support. Turkey fears the consequences of an independent Kurdish state on its southern border that Washington is trying to put together.<\/p>\n

Whatever is happening domestically within Turkey, regionally, Turkey is cooling to its role of being one of Washington\u2019s\u00a0main, if not\u00a0the main<\/em>, whipping boys in Syria. The Turks are coming to the understanding, as did the Russians and Iranians \u2013 and perhaps even the Israelis \u2013 that the dismemberment of Syria will destabilize the entire region that much more and affect their national security. Of course the Turks have come to this realization\u00a0late in the game,\u00a0<\/em>only after it became more evident that Assad would not fall the way that Khadaffi and Saddam Hussein did.<\/p>\n

Turkey \u201cMakes Nice\u201d with Russia, Israel and Iran<\/strong><\/p>\n

There are unquestionable signs of the Turkish shift. The shifts suggest a fluid system of regional alliances and adversaries, made complex by the presence of both regional and global players. These shifts are admittedly difficult \u2013 but not impossible to follow. Sooner or later, in this case the Turkish coup crisis, the main themes previously refined behind closed doors have burst forth in the open.<\/p>\n

As relations with Washington and NATO become more strained, those with regional powers, Russia, Israel (yes, Israel) and Iran are warming as Ankara has been on a \u201clet\u2019s make nice\u201d campaign with all three \u2013 suggesting that\u00a0when the political will is there, countries that appear at odds with one another can find common ground and do so rather quickly.\u00a0<\/em>The United States is annoyed and embarrassed that the Erdogan government has alleged \u201can American hand\u201d in the present coup attempt (as if Washington never engaged in such!). What is more, as an Indian commentator has pointed out, \u201cThe Turkish allegation\u00a0has no precedent in NATO\u2019s 67-year old history \u2013 of one member plotting regime change in another member\u2019s country through violent means.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Can it be a mere seven months ago that Turkey shot down a Russian jet fighter that had wandered somewhere near the Turkish-Syrian border? At the time, edged on by NATO, it looked as if relations between Ankara and Moscow, neighbors with a long history and important trading partners, were headed for the dumpster. Angry words were exchanged, Russia cut off trade relations and tourism. But lately, a few weeks prior to the attempted coup \u2013 or whatever it was \u2013 the two \u201cmade nice\u201d to one another. As\u00a0MK Badrakumar<\/a>\u00a0points out,<\/p>\n

\n

Russian President Vladimir Putin did on Sunday what no major western leader from the NATO member countries cared to do when he telephoned his Turkish counterpart Recep Erdogan to convey his sympathy, goodwill and best wishes for the latter\u2019s success in restoring constitutional order and stability as soon as possible after the attempted coup Friday night.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Having been repulsed by the economic integration that it sought with the European Union, Turkey is more and more gravitating towards putting its economic eggs within a Eurasian basket. Turkey is once again warming to what is referred to as\u00a0the Balkan Stream Megaproject<\/a>, a Russian-based project to link central Europe and western Eurasia in an energy pipeline nexus from the Baltic Sea in the north to the Mediterranean in the South.<\/p>\n

At the same time Turkish-Russian relations rebounded, tensions between Turkey and Israel lessened as well. Washington\u2019s two key strategic allies had gotten into a diplomatic tiff (it was never more than that) after Israeli commandos attacked the MV Mavi Marmara attempting to bring humanitarian aid and to break the Israeli-Egyptian blockade of Gaza. Ten died and several dozen participants on the ship were wounded or injured. But less than a month ago,\u00a0on June 27, 2016,\u00a0a\u00a0new deal was announced in Ankara by Israeli Prime Minister Binali Yildirim<\/a>. My reading of the deal is that Israel,\u00a0anxious to break out of its regional isolation has agreed to most of the Turkey\u2019s terms, including Turkish access to Gaza to build a hospital there.<\/a><\/p>\n

Since the Iranian nuclear deal was reached last summer (July, 2015),\u00a0Turkey and Iran have been quietly improving economic relations. Turkey is wooing Iran as a potentially lucrative market of trade and investment. Despite the fact that the two countries are on opposite sides of Syrian conflict, there are reports that the two countries have plans to increase trade over the next two years by $30 billion. That Iran hopes to maintain its good relations with Turkey can be seen in Teheran\u2019s support of Erdogan\u2019s crushing \u201cthe coup.\u201d Iranian foreign minister (and University of Denver Korbel School of International Studies graduate) Mohammad Javad Zarif voiced support for\u00a0Turkey\u2019s \u201cbrave defense of democracy.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n

Pepe Escobar\u2019s Article in<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong>Asia Times<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

In an article entitled\u00a0\u201cHell Hath No Fury Like A Teflon Sultan\u201d<\/a>\u00a0Pepe Escobar, writing for The Asian Times<\/em> (and republished elsewhere) talks in detail about the unfolding of the Turkish coup. A little about Escobar before proceeding.\u00a0Pepe Escobar is a Brazilian journalist whose specialty is global political developments, otherwise known as geo-politics. He writes what might be called \u201cGonzo political economy\u201d (a la Hunter Thompson). Funny and \u00a0irreverent, I have found that\u00a0like British journalist and long time Middle East commentator, Robert Fisk<\/a>, and\u00a0former Indian diplomat, Bhadrakumar Melkulangara<\/a>,\u00a0he is always worth reading. Escobar seems to have pretty good sources \u201cwith the powers that be\u201d (like\u00a0Seymour Hersh<\/a>) and that if he is not on the mark, he is close.<\/p>\n

According to Escobar, although the origins of the coup attempt \u2013 or is it \u201ccoup attempt\u201d \u2013 remain murky, what is emerging from the chaos is that Erdogan is engineering a geo-political shift in Turkey\u2019s politics that could have far-reaching consequences. The problem here is NOT that the U.S. engages in conspiracies. A good part of U.S. foreign policy \u2013 the dark side, that is \u2013 is filled with them. The problem is teasing out the genuine conspiracies from the bogus ones.<\/p>\n

At this point there are two contradictory explanations (probably more actually) to what happened. One line of reasoning is that this whole episode is little more than what is called \u201ca false flag\u201d operation initiated\u00a0by Erdogan himself to purge his internal enemies so that he can pursue his shift in regional policy without internal opposition. The other explanation is that the coup is the work of the C.I.A. (and thus the Obama Administration) working through well-financed Turkish Muslim in political exile in the United States Fethullah Gulem, who engineered the coup because Erdogan is drifting away from playing the role the United States wants him to play (i.e., shifting position on Syria, disagreements over the Kurds, the Eurasian drift.)<\/p>\n

It is still too early to tell which of these scenarios, in whole or in part, are valid, i.e., what did happen in Turkey these past days and why. But what is less debatable is the geopolitical shift that Erdogan is attempting to engineer, although the extent of the shift and what it means to Turkey\u2019s relations with the United States and NATO are still up in the air.<\/p>\n

The essence of Escobar\u00a0article are the following points:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. That the preliminary evidence suggests that the coup was something of a staged operation in which Erdogan had a hand \u2013 Escobar gives many examples of his suspicions. He is careful though NOT to openly call it an Erdogan-engineered conspiracy, although the evidence presented in the article certainly suggests as much. Melkulangara\u2019s first post-coup analyses seem to point in the same direction.<\/li>\n
  2. Escobar\u00a0downplays the role of Fetullah Gulen, the Obama Administration and the C.I.A. in orchestrating the coup, although he does not rule it out. If the Obama Administration was involved, he thinks, it is because of the split in the ruling class between the Obama Administration itself and \u201cthe Beltway\/Neo-Con\/CIA axis\u201d \u2013 in which the differing elements of the U.S. global power structure are actually working against one another.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    An interesting and from where I am sitting, not incredible, hypothesis.<\/p>\n

    All this suggests that the origins of the coup continue to remain murky although, regardless, its consequences are becoming clearer \u2013 a geopolitical shift in Turkey\u2019s regional political role that is bound to cause tensions with Washington and NATO \u2013 and has already forced Turkey to mend fences with Russia, Israel and Iran. The question remains to be seen \u2013 a minor shift or something actually pulling Turkey into new geopolitical waters.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    This piece was reprinted from Foreign Policy In Focus<\/a> by RINF Alternative News<\/a> with permission. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    President Erdogan is pursuing ethnically narrow, Turkish-chauvinist, domestic and foreign policy. (Photo: Russia Today) Cross-posted from View from the Left Bank. Some Background The aftershocks of the failed military coup in Turkey are resonating. Nearly 2,500 upper level military personnel, including more than 100 generals sacked and many arrested. 6,000 members of the judiciary, who […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":256982,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[519,18],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-256981","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-newswire","8":"category-latest-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/256981","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=256981"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/256981\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/256982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=256981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=256981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=256981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}