{"id":23806,"date":"2013-01-27T09:30:17","date_gmt":"2013-01-27T08:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.co.uk\/2013\/01\/27\/eu-referendum-conservative-ukip-polls-labour-lead_n_2560581.html?utm_hp_ref=uk-politics?ncid=GEP"},"modified":"2013-01-27T09:30:17","modified_gmt":"2013-01-27T08:30:17","slug":"the-eu-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/breaking-news\/the-eu-effect\/","title":{"rendered":"The EU Effect"},"content":{"rendered":"<div itemprop=\"articleBody\">\n<p>David Cameron&#8217;s pledge of an in\/out referendum on EU membership if the Tories win the next general election appears to have secured the party a significant boost in the polls.<\/p>\n<p>A survey conducted in the wake of the Prime Minister&#8217;s long-awaited speech on Wednesday showed a five-point Conservative jump on last month &#8211; mostly at the expense of the UK Independence Party &#8211; almost halving Labour&#8217;s lead to six.<\/p>\n<p>Cameron insists he wants to stay in the EU but pledged to renegotiate the relationship to claw back powers and offer voters a choice of that deal or exit by the end of 2017 if the Conservatives are returned to power in 2015.<\/p>\n<p>His pledge came amid intense pressure from eurosceptic backbenchers concerned about the threat posed by a resurgent Ukip but has been attacked by Labour and his Liberal Democrat coalition partners.<\/p>\n<p>The poll, by ComRes for the Sunday Mirror and the Independent on Sunday, put the Tories on 33%, with Labour stood still at 39% and the Liberal Democrats up two at 11%.<\/p>\n<p>Ukip, which has registered significant advances in recent months, fell back four points to 10%.<\/p>\n<p>The poll found a majority of voters backed Labour and Lib Dem warnings that Cameron&#8217;s position would cause &#8220;years of uncertainty which will be bad for the British economy&#8221; by 43% t0 30%.<\/p>\n<p>But a majority also now believe that leaving the EU would in itself be bad for the economy in terms of lost jobs and trade &#8211; by 38% to 36%, a turnaround from November when 40% disagreed and 36% agreed.<\/p>\n<p>There was also a significant shift in the numbers saying the UK should quit Brussels regardless of whether powers could be returned, voters disagreeing by 43% to 33% &#8211; the exact opposite of the previous poll.<\/p>\n<p>However the change in the numbers expecting to vote &#8220;yes&#8221; if powers were returned rose only slightly.<\/p>\n<p>Cameron enjoys the confidence of 42% of voters that he is &#8220;good at standing up for Britain&#8217;s interests in the European Union&#8221; while only 22% said they believed Miliband would be if he became prime minister.<\/p>\n<p>And though the Tory leader still has an overall negative personal rating as premier &#8211; by 32% to 46% &#8211; it has significantly improved since the 27% to 51% gap of last month and is his best since June 2011.<\/p>\n<p>The poll was released as Miliband &#8211; who has said the party is not in favour of the referendum promised by the Prime Minister &#8211; faced renewed calls from within his own party for an immediate in\/out referendum.<\/p>\n<p>But in an interview with the Sunday Times, the Labour leader was confident about his decision.<\/p>\n<p>He said: &#8220;I just don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s in the national interest.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Right now it doesn&#8217;t make sense to commit to a referendum years ahead.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He added that he believes the Prime Minister is putting his party ahead of the country by offering an EU referendum.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Has he changed his mind because he&#8217;s changed his view about the national economic interest? Or has he changed his mind because there&#8217;s pressure in the Conservative party and he&#8217;s worried about UKIP?<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I contend it&#8217;s the second, not the first. That&#8217;s why I&#8217;ve stuck to the positioning we&#8217;ve always had,&#8221; Miliband said.<\/p>\n<p>On Radio 4 on Saturday, both shadow Foreign Secretary Danny Alexander and Shadow Welsh Secretary Peter Hain said they backed Miliband&#8217;s view that it was the wrong timescale for a referendum.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c19\"><span class=\"c16\"><span class=\"c11\"><\/span> <span class=\"c15\"> <strong><\/strong> <span class=\"c14\"><br \/>BBC Radio 4 Today<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"c17\">&#8216;We are not convinced the case has been made for an in\/out referendum&#8217; on the UK&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/redirect.viglink.com\/?key=11fe087258b6fc0532a5ccfc924805c0&#038;u=http%3A%2F%2Fsearch.twitter.com%2Fsearch%3Fq%3D%2523EU\"  class=\"permalink\">#EU<\/a> membership,  tells <a href=\"http:\/\/redirect.viglink.com\/?key=11fe087258b6fc0532a5ccfc924805c0&#038;u=http%3A%2F%2Fsearch.twitter.com%2Fsearch%3Fq%3D%2523r4today\"  class=\"permalink\">#r4today<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c21\"><span class=\"c16\"><span class=\"c11\"><\/span> <span class=\"c15\"> <strong><\/strong> <span class=\"c14\"><br \/>politicshomeuk<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"c17\">.  on whether EU referendum will draw Labour and Lib Dems together: &#8220;Not on its own.&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/redirect.viglink.com\/?key=11fe087258b6fc0532a5ccfc924805c0&#038;u=http%3A%2F%2Fsearch.twitter.com%2Fsearch%3Fq%3D%2523weekinwestminster\"  class=\"permalink\">#weekinwestminster<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/redirect.viglink.com\/?key=11fe087258b6fc0532a5ccfc924805c0&#038;u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mirror.co.uk%2Fnews%2Fuk-news%2Fkeith-vaz-backs-plans-for-eu-1558208\" >Former Europe minister Keith Vaz, a supporter of EU membership, said<\/a> it was &#8220;time to settle the question of Britain&#8217;s membership in the EU once and for all&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I support a referendum because, like David Cameron, Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg, I believe the future of our country is in Europe. I am supportive, but pragmatic about the European project,&#8221; he wrote in the Sunday Mirror.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I accept British people rightly feel the EU is not delivering on its promises. Reform is necessary. We need better, stronger and earlier scrutiny by Parliament of EU measures.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;However, the proposed timescale is wrong.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A four-year wait is destabilising for our country, but also for what we are hoping to achieve in Britain&#8217;s interest in the EU. It sends the wrong message to the rest of the world at a time of global financial crisis.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The PM cannot allow the European Question to overshadow the critical issues that will confront our economy over the next few years. The time for a referendum is now. The people must decide. Let&#8217;s do it!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Labour former prime minister Tony Blair used an article in the Mail on Sunday to issue a rallying cry to the &#8220;sensible, solid majority&#8221; in favour of membership to start campaigning hard to make the case for a &#8220;yes&#8221; vote.<\/p>\n<p>The UK leaving the EU would be an &#8220;extraordinary denial of its own interests&#8221;, he wrote, accusing Mr Cameron of alienating potential European allies by opening the door to exit for party political gain.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t know what the rest of Europe will decide. The referendum won&#8217;t happen for four or five years. The only certain<br \/>thing is the uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That is why Ukip is rejoicing and it really doesn&#8217;t matter what David Cameron comes back with by way of a deal. It will never be enough for them.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;They&#8217;re like the old Left in the Labour Party or the new Right in the fringe parties of Europe and the Tea Party in the US.<\/p>\n<p>They have a perfect right to make their point. But they shouldn&#8217;t decide the policy of a serious nation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He warned that Britain spent 20 years trying to get into Europe after Winston Churchill &#8220;didn&#8217;t feel the need for Britain to be part of it.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It is important not to repeat that pattern. I believe there is a sensible, solid majority in the UK for us to stay in Europe. It is time to start mobilising it.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pixel.quantserve.com\/pixel\/p-89EKCgBk8MZdE.gif\" border=\"0\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>David Cameron&#8217;s pledge of an in\/out referendum on EU membership if the Tories win the next general election appears to have secured the party a significant boost in the polls.<br \/>\nA survey conducted in the wake of the Prime Minister&#8217;s long-awaited speech &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1213,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[487],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-23806","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-breaking-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1213"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23806"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23806\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}