{"id":146780,"date":"2015-03-18T05:35:00","date_gmt":"2015-03-18T05:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/?guid=d98885dfe6fb70b558008f865719fd08"},"modified":"2015-03-18T05:35:00","modified_gmt":"2015-03-18T05:35:00","slug":"chinas-slowdown-harbinger-of-a-new-business-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/editorials\/chinas-slowdown-harbinger-of-a-new-business-model\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s Slowdown, Harbinger of a New Business Model?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: left;\" trbidi=\"on\">\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-FOfcbxWRAD0\/VQkOeNX--KI\/AAAAAAAABY0\/Pcof5xgiQqA\/s1600\/Screen%2BShot%2B2015-03-18%2Bat%2B1.11.31%2BPM.png\" imageanchor=\"1\" style=\"clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-FOfcbxWRAD0\/VQkOeNX--KI\/AAAAAAAABY0\/Pcof5xgiQqA\/s1600\/Screen%2BShot%2B2015-03-18%2Bat%2B1.11.31%2BPM.png\" height=\"213\" width=\"320\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p>At the opening of China\u2019s annual parliamentary meeting last week, Premier Li Keqiang laid out Beijing\u2019s policy agenda for the year, speaking frankly about the formidable challenges to growth facing the Chinese economy. Li referred to a myriad of systemic, institutional, and structural problems as  \u2018tigers in the road,\u2019 responsible for holding up development.<\/p>\n<p>Beijing subsequently unveiled this year\u2019s GDP target at about 7 per cent, the lowest target in over 15 years. After three decades of rapid expansion, Li has referred the current period of slower, sustained economic growth as the \u2018new normal\u2019. Though the revised performance target remains robust by global comparison, the Chinese leadership is now taking measures to offset further downward pressure on the economy.<\/p>\n<p>The slowdown in the world\u2019s second largest economy is driven primarily by high debts (<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2015\/02\/04\/chinas-total-debt-load-equals-282-of-gdp-raising-its-economic-risks\/\">estimated<\/a> at more than 280 per cent of GDP), an unintended consequence of the central government\u2019s massive credit stimulus following the global financial crisis of 2008 to 2009. Following the crash, investments in property and infrastructure were financed primarily by credit to compensate for lower consumer demand for Chinese exports.<\/p>\n<p>Declining commodity and oil prices, lower international and domestic demand, and falling industrial production have <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/chinarealtime\/2015\/03\/06\/early-look-chinas-economy-starts-2015-on-soft-note\/\">converged<\/a>, placing an increasingly heavy debt burden on provincial governments and industrial firms. China is currently <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/chinarealtime\/2015\/03\/10\/economists-react-chinas-deflation-risks-going-nowhere\/\">experiencing<\/a> a property downturn and low consumer inflation, while three consecutive years of contracting industrial output has spurred on deflationary risks.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div style=\"background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;\"><i>Read the full story on&nbsp;<b><a href=\"http:\/\/journal-neo.org\/2015\/03\/18\/china-s-slowdown-harbinger-of-a-new-business-model\/\" style=\"color: black; text-decoration: none;\">New Eastern Outlook<\/a><\/b><\/i><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;\"><i><br \/><\/i><\/div>\n<p><i style=\"background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;\"><b>Nile Bowie<\/b>&nbsp;is a columnist with Russia Today, and a research affiliate with the International Movement for a Just World (JUST), an NGO based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. He can be reached at&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:nilebowie@gmail.com\" style=\"color: black; text-decoration: none;\"><span style=\"color: red;\">nilebowie@gmail.com<\/span><\/a>.<\/i><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-FOfcbxWRAD0\/VQkOeNX--KI\/AAAAAAAABY0\/Pcof5xgiQqA\/s1600\/Screen%2BShot%2B2015-03-18%2Bat%2B1.11.31%2BPM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-FOfcbxWRAD0\/VQkOeNX--KI\/AAAAAAAABY0\/Pcof5xgiQqA\/s1600\/Screen%2BShot%2B2015-03-18%2Bat%2B1.11.31%2BPM.png\" height=\"213\" width=\"320\"><\/a><\/div>\n<p>At the opening of China&rsquo;s annual parliamentary meeting last week, Premier Li Keqiang laid out Beijing&rsquo;s policy agenda for the year, speaking frankly about the formidable challenges to growth facing the Chinese economy. Li referred to a myriad of systemic, institutional, and structural problems as  &lsquo;tigers in the road,&rsquo; responsible for holding up development.<\/p>\n<p>Beijing subsequently unveiled this year&rsquo;s GDP target at about 7 per cent, the lowest target in over 15 years. After three decades of rapid expansion, Li has referred the current period of slower, sustained economic growth as the &lsquo;new normal&rsquo;. Though the revised performance target remains robust by global comparison, the Chinese leadership is now taking measures to offset further downward pressure on the economy.<\/p>\n<p>The slowdown in the world&rsquo;s second largest economy is driven primarily by high debts (<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2015\/02\/04\/chinas-total-debt-load-equals-282-of-gdp-raising-its-economic-risks\/\">estimated<\/a> at more than 280 per cent of GDP), an unintended consequence of the central government&rsquo;s massive credit stimulus following the global financial crisis of 2008 to 2009. Following the crash, investments in property and infrastructure were financed primarily by credit to compensate for lower consumer demand for Chinese exports.<\/p>\n<p>Declining commodity and oil prices, lower international and domestic demand, and falling industrial production have <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/chinarealtime\/2015\/03\/06\/early-look-chinas-economy-starts-2015-on-soft-note\/\">converged<\/a>, placing an increasingly heavy debt burden on provincial governments and industrial firms. China is currently <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/chinarealtime\/2015\/03\/10\/economists-react-chinas-deflation-risks-going-nowhere\/\">experiencing<\/a> a property downturn and low consumer inflation, while three consecutive years of contracting industrial output has spurred on deflationary risks.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><i>Read the full story on&nbsp;<b><a href=\"http:\/\/journal-neo.org\/2015\/03\/18\/china-s-slowdown-harbinger-of-a-new-business-model\/\">New Eastern Outlook<\/a><\/b><\/i><\/div>\n<div><i><br \/><\/i><\/div>\n<p><i><b>Nile Bowie<\/b>&nbsp;is a columnist with Russia Today, and a research affiliate with the International Movement for a Just World (JUST), an NGO based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. He can be reached at&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:nilebowie@gmail.com\"><span>nilebowie@gmail.com<\/span><\/a>.<\/i><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1236,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[461],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-146780","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-editorials"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146780","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1236"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=146780"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146780\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=146780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=146780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/rinf.com\/alt-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=146780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}