Of course, Obama should not abandon the fight against international terrorism, but adopt more effective tactics.当然，奥巴马不应放弃反对国际恐怖主义的斗争，而是采取更有效的战术。 He should treat al-Qaida and its ilk as criminals rather than armies.他应该对待基地组织和其之流当作罪犯，而不是军队。 Quiet intelligence work, coordination with allies and law enforcement should be used as much as possible.安静的情报工作，协调与盟国和执法应尽可能使用。 There may be times when military action is needed, but it should be minimized because of its negative effects.很多时候，军事行动是必要的，但应该尽量减少，因为其消极影响。 Obama should make it a top priority to address the conditions that fuel anti-American hatred.奥巴马应该使它成为最优先处理的条件，燃料的反美仇恨。 In Afghanistan, this means rebuilding the country; in Pakistan, not propping up unpopular despots like Musharraf; in Israel and the Palestinian territories, throwing the full weight of American diplomacy behind a two-state solution.在阿富汗，这意味着该国的重建;在巴基斯坦，而不是扶植不受欢迎的暴君穆沙拉夫一样，在以色列和巴勒斯坦领土，投掷重量充分的美国外交政策背后两个国家的解决办法。 When it comes to fighting terrorism, America’s most powerful weapon is not its army, it is its brain.当谈到打击恐怖主义，美国最有力的武器不是它的军队，这是其大脑。

Fortunately, we are about to get a president who has a brain and is not afraid to use it.幸运的是，我们即将获得总统谁拥有高度的智慧和不怕使用它。 Obama famously said that he didn’t just want to end the war in Iraq, he wanted to end “the mind-set that led to war.” And the ultimate expression of that mind-set is the “war on terror.”著名奥巴马说，他不只是要结束伊拉克战争，他希望结束“的心态，导致战争。 ”而最终体现的心态是“反恐战争” 。

Unfortunately, Obama has given some mixed messages about whether he is going to end the “war on terror” and the wrongheaded policies that have resulted from it.不幸的是，奥巴马的出现，使混合邮件他是否会结束“反恐战争”的错误政策，导致它。 His most troubling statements concern Afghanistan and Osama bin Laden.他的发言最令人不安的关注阿富汗和乌萨马本拉丹。 In his debates with McCain, Obama consistently charged that the US had “taken its eye off the ball” in Afghanistan and had failed to make capturing or killing bin Laden its top priority.他在辩论麦凯恩，奥巴马一贯指责说，美国已经“采取了眼了球”在阿富汗和未能取得抓获或杀死本拉丹的头等大事。 These arguments, while not untrue, implicitly legitimize the “war on terror,” and simply critique Bush for fighting it in the wrong way.这些论点，而不是不真实的，含蓄合法化的“反恐战争” ，并批评布什只是打击它在错误的道路。

Obama’s proposal to escalate the US war in Afghanistan, though qualified by his greater emphasis on rebuilding the country, seems to indicate that he believes the Taliban can be defeated militarily.奥巴马的建议升级，美国在阿富汗战争，但他的合格更加强调重建国家，似乎表明，他认为塔利班能在军事上被打败。 This is a recipe for failure: As former British Foreign Service officer这是一个会导致失败：作为英国前外交事务官员 Rory Stewart noted 罗斯图尔特指出 in the New York Times, the US military buildup in Afghanistan has inflamed the Taliban resistance and made the situation worse.在纽约时报，美国的军事集结在阿富汗的塔利班发炎阻力，使情况变得更糟。 In a recent interview on “60 Minutes,” Obama said he would make capturing or killing bin Laden a top priority, and he has threatened to strike terrorist targets inside Pakistan if the Pakistan government proved unwilling or unable to do so.在最近的一次采访“ 60分钟， ”奥巴马说，他将抓获或杀死本拉丹的首要任务，他威胁要罢工恐怖攻击的目标，如果在巴基斯坦境内，巴基斯坦政府证明不愿或不能这样做。

Killing or capturing bin Laden is obviously desirable.杀害或逮捕本拉丹显然是可取的。 But as Mideast expert and Salon contributor Juan Cole但是，随着中东地区的专家和沙龙贡献者胡安科尔 has pointed out, 所指出的那样， achieving that goal may come at too high a price.实现这个目标可能过高的价格。 A major US military campaign in the tribal agencies on the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, where bin Laden is thought to be hiding, would anger Pakistanis and weaken the Pakistan government.美国一家主要的军事行动在部落机构在阿富汗和巴基斯坦边界，而本拉丹被认为是隐藏，将愤怒的巴基斯坦人，削弱了巴基斯坦政府。 It’s not clear this is an acceptable trade-off.目前尚不清楚这是一个可接受的权衡。

Further doubts about whether Obama intends to fundamentally change Bush’s foreign policy have been raised by his choice of Hillary Clinton as secretary of state.进一步怀疑奥巴马是否打算从根本上改变布什的外交政策提出了自己的选择希拉里作为国务秘书。 Clinton represents that sizable wing of the Democratic Party that went along with Bush’s “war on terror.” She voted to authorize force in Iraq, voted to declare Iran’s Revolutionary Guards a terrorist organization — a vote widely seen as giving Bush a green light to attack Iran — and has been克林顿是相当大的代表左翼的民主党沿着这与布什的“反恐战争。 ”她投票授权部队在伊拉克，投票宣布伊朗革命卫队为恐怖组织-表决普遍视为给布什绿灯攻击伊朗-并已 unswervingly “pro-Israel.” 坚定不移地贯彻“亲以色列。 ” (In fact, as the progressive American Jewish organization （事实上，作为逐步美国犹太人组织 J Street J街 has pointed out, “pro-Israel” politicians, invariably ones who toe the Israel lobby’s line, are not actually acting in Israel’s best interests.)所指出的那样， “亲以色列的”政治家，无一例外的脚趾谁的以色列游说的路线，实际上并没有采取行动在以色列的最大利益。 ）

Despite these developments, there is still reason to believe that Obama’s approach to fighting terrorism will be radically different from Bush’s.尽管出现了这些事态发展，但仍有理由相信，奥巴马的办法，打击恐怖主义将是截然不同布什的。 He has consistently called for robust Mideast diplomacy, including talking with Iran.他一贯主张中东外交的强大，其中包括与伊朗讨论。 In a在 Washington Post Op-Ed, 华盛顿邮报论坛版， Brent Scowcroft and Zbigniew Brzezinski called for Obama to make resolving the Israeli-Palestinian crisis a top priority.斯考克罗夫特和布热津斯基呼吁奥巴马，使解决巴以危机的头等大事。 Scowcroft, an eminent member of the realist wing of America’s bipartisan foreign policy establishment,斯考克罗夫特，一位杰出的成员现实主义者翼美国两党外交政策的建立， has advised Obama 通知奥巴马 on national security issues.关于国家安全问题。 In general, Obama’s Mideast views seem to总体而言，奥巴马的中东似乎意见 track closely 密切跟踪 with the realist, diplomacy-driven policies recommended by the bipartisan与现实主义，外交推动政策建议的两党合作 Iraq Study Group, 伊拉克问题研究小组， which Bush famously ignored.布什著名忽视。

As for Obama’s hawkish remarks on Afghanistan, they were probably driven by political concerns.至于奥巴马的鹰派言论对阿富汗，他们可能推动政治问题。 During the campaign, Obama needed to shore up his national-security credentials, and talking tough on Afghanistan, Pakistan and al-Qaida gave him a free chance to do so.在竞选期间，奥巴马需要以支撑他的国家安全证书，并发表强硬的谈话，对阿富汗，巴基斯坦和基地组织给了他一个自由的机会这样做。 (In one of the odder ironies of the campaign, McCain came across as more measured and diplomatic on Pakistan than Obama.) （在一个不可思议具有讽刺意味的运动，麦凯恩碰到随着越来越多的测量和对巴基斯坦的外交比奥巴马。 ）

To a lesser degree, the same thing is probably true of Clinton.在较小的程度，同样的事情可能是真正的克林顿。 Following the traditional Democratic playbook, she felt she had to lean to the right on national security issues, and some of her “pro-Israel” and anti-Iranian tilt can be explained by her perceived need to cater to her New York constituents.继传统的民主剧本，她觉得她瘦了的权利在国家安全问题上，和她的一些“亲以色列”和反伊朗的倾斜可以解释她的自觉需要，以满足她的纽约成分。 In any case, Obama likely realized the more hawkish Clinton will make a more effective, bulletproof emissary of change.在任何情况下，奥巴马可能实现了更为强硬的克林顿将作出更有效的，防弹使者的变化。 Who better to get tough with Israel in negotiations than the woman who threatened to “obliterate” Iran if it launched a nuclear attack on the Jewish state?谁能够更好地在比赛中与以色列的谈判比女人谁扬言要“消灭”如果伊朗发动核攻击以色列这个犹太国家？ Nixon in China, meet Hillary in Jerusalem.尼克松在中国，满足希拉里在耶路撒冷。

Finally, beyond political tea-leaf reading, there’s the simple matter of effectiveness.最后，超越政治茶叶读，还有简单的事的效果。 Everything we know about Obama indicates that he is driven above all by pragmatism.我们都知道奥巴马表明，他是出于上述所有的务实精神。 His nuanced approach to America’s economic crisis and his choices of highly experienced Washington insiders as his top advisors make it clear that he wants results.他细致入微的做法对美国的经济危机和他的选择经验丰富的华盛顿人士作为他的高级顾问明确表示，他希望的结果。 And the “war on terror” is simply not working.和“反恐战争”是根本行不通的。

There are dozens of reasons why it is not working, but the most important one is brutally simple: It is not in America’s interests to have US troops in Arab/Muslim countries. Whatever good they do — and the US troops in Iraq have done a lot of good — is outweighed by the inadvertent harm they do, the ill will they engender and the insupportable burden they place on the US economy.有许多原因，它是不工作，但最重要的是残酷的简单： 它不是美国的利益，美国军队已经在阿拉伯/穆斯林国家。不管好，他们这样做-和美军在伊拉克已做了很多好事-是超过无意中伤害他们这样做了，虐待他们将带来的难以负担，他们对美国经济。 It was none other than Donald Rumsfeld who acknowledged this problem, when he这不是别人，正是拉姆斯菲尔德谁承认这个问题，当他 famously asked, 著名问 “Are we creating more terrorists than we’re killing?” It has become increasingly apparent that we are. “我们创造更多的恐怖分子比我们杀人吗？ ”越来越明显，我们正。

Declaring that the “war on terror” was over would have immediate positive effects.宣布“反恐战争”已经结束将立即积极的影响。 Our European allies would rejoice.我们的欧洲盟友将感到欢欣鼓舞。 Al-Qaida, already so worried about the PR fallout from Obama’s election that its number two, Ayman al-Zawahiri, ludicrously基地组织，已使担心公关沉降奥巴马的选举，其排名第二，扎瓦希里，滑稽 accused him 指控他 of being a “house slave,” would be further discredited in the Arab/Muslim world.作为一个“房子的奴隶” ，将进一步败坏了阿拉伯/穆斯林世界。 It would be easier to begin negotiations with the Taliban and Iran.这将是容易开始谈判，塔利班和伊朗。 It would send a strong signal to both the Israelis and the Palestinians that America’s new president is unequivocally committed to a two-state solution and is breaking with Bush’s approach.这将发出一个强有力的信号，同时，以色列人和巴勒斯坦人，美国的新总统明确承诺两个国家的解决办法，并打破了布什的做法。 It would make clear to the entire world, still reeling from the high-handed Bush years, that the real America is back — an America strong and confident enough not to feel the need to swagger through the world smashing things.它将使清楚地看到整个世界，仍然缫丝从霸道布什多年来，真正的美国回来-一个美国强大和自信不够不觉得有必要昂首阔步通过世界砸碎的东西。

Domestically, it would reenergize Obama’s core supporters, who are在国内，它将reenergize奥巴马的核心支持者，谁是 growing slightly uneasy 越来越略有不安 as he makes one efficient-but-Establishment move after another.因为他使一个高效的，而是建立在另一个举措。

At the same time, Obama faces serious institutional and ideological obstacles to ending Bush’s approach.与此同时，奥巴马面临着严重的体制和思想障碍，以结束布什的做法。 The powers that be are loathe to admit that there are problems for which there are no military solutions — especially with troops in the field.的权力，将是不愿意承认存在着问题，没有军事解决办法-尤其是与外地部队。 Patriotism, politicians’ need to appear “tough,” an unwillingness to admit that American lives were wasted and delusional hopes that victory is just around the corner make it hard for Obama to end the “war on terror” and the mind-set that led to it.爱国主义，政客们的需要出现“强硬” ，不愿意承认，美国人的生命被浪费和妄想希望，胜利是指日可待，很难为奥巴马结束的“反恐战争”的心态，导致它。 In a larger sense, ending the “war on terror” means reappraising the entire在更广泛的意义上，结束了“反恐战争”的手段重新评估整个 vast American military empire, 庞大的美国军事帝国 and the strategic and economic consequences of our role as global policeman.和战略和经济后果的作用，世界警察。 This is not just a change of tactics, it’sa paradigm shift.这不仅是一个改变战术，这是范式转变。

It won’t be easy for Obama to make this fundamental change.这将是不容易的奥巴马，使这个根本性的变化。 But until he does, we will continue to thrash about — and find ourselves sinking deeper into the Middle East quicksand.但是，直到他这样做，我们将继续鞭打约-和发现自己下沉深入中东流沙。