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Vertaal:
              Het algemeen dat van de V.S. voor middeloorlogen plannen
Dinsdag, 23 September, 2008 ANALYSE: De militaire V.S. zien de volgende 30 tot 40 jaar aangezien implicerend een staat van ononderbroken oorlog tegen ideologisch-gemotiveerde terroristen en concurrerend met Rusland en China voor natuurlijke rijkdommen en markten, schrijven Tom Clonan AANGEZIEN ALGEMENE Ray Odierno bevel van de krachten van de V.S. in Bagdad van de architect Gen David Petraeus van de troepenschommeling neemt, is Amerika met planning menens voor zijn gefaseerde terugtrekking begonnen. De extra teams van het brigadegevecht - of gevechtseenheden - die aan Irak door Petraeus worden hebben de opgesteld zich reeds teruggetrokken en verdere 8.000 troepen zijn afgeleid aan Afghanistan. In Januari, zal de volgende president van de Verenigde Staten het tijdschema van Amerika voor terugtrekking in definitieve onderhandelingen met de Iraakse overheid besluiten. Het verdere bewijsmateriaal van de toekomstige militaire bedoelingen van Amerika is bevat in onlangs gepubliceerde strategiedocumenten die door de militaire V.S. worden uitgegeven. Onder toezicht van het Ministerie van de V.S. van defensie en afdeling van het leger, hebben de militaire V.S. net een document getiteld de Strategie gepubliceerd van de Modernisering van het Leger van 2008 die voor interessante lezing tegen de huidige achtergrond van het verslechteren internationale fiscaal maakt, milieu, energiebron en veiligheidscrisissen. De de moderniseringsstrategie van 2008, die door Lieut Gen Stephen Speakes, afgevaardigdeleider wordt geschreven van personeel van het leger van de V.S., bevat eerste expliciet en de officiële erkenning dat de militaire V.S. gevaarlijk zijn overstretched internationaal. Het verklaart eenvoudig: Het „leger is bezig geweest met de derde-langste oorlog in de geschiedenis van onze natie en. . . de globale Oorlog op Terrorisme (GWOT) heeft ertoe gebracht in onevenwicht het leger om met de vraag naar krachten te worden die de duurzame levering.“ overschrijden Tegen deze achtergrond, stelt het 90 paginadocument de toekomst van internationaal conflict voor de volgende 30 tot 40 jaar op - als militaire V.S. ziet het - en schetst de manier waarin de militairen zijn huidige verrichtingen zullen ondersteunen en en „omzetten“ voorbereidingen zullen treffen zelf voor toekomstige „blijvende“ oorlogvoering. Het document openbaart een aantal diep significante - en zich ongerust maakt - strategische posities die als officiële doctrine door de militaire V.S. zijn goedgekeurd. In zijn inleiding, voorspelt het een post koude oorlogstoekomst van „eeuwige oorlogvoering“. Volgens zijn auteurs: „Wij zijn een era van blijvend conflict ingegaan. . . een veiligheidsmilieu dubbelzinniger en onvoorspelbaar dan dat zag tijdens de koude oorlog onder ogen.“ Het gaat dan de belangrijkste eigenschappen van deze dagende era van ononderbroken oorlogvoering beschrijven. Enkele kenmerken zijn vertrouwd genoeg aan een wereldpubliek gebruikelijk aan de retoriek van de globale oorlog op verschrikking. “A key current threat is a radical, ideology-based, long-term terrorist threat bent on using any means available - to include weapons of mass destruction - to achieve its political and ideological ends.” Relatively new, “emerging” features are also included in the document’s rationale for future threats. “We face a potential return to traditional security threats posed by emerging near-peers as we compete globally for depleting natural resources and overseas markets.” This thinly-veiled reference to Russia and China will, perhaps, come as little surprise given recent events in Ossetia and Abkhazia. The explicit reference in this context to future resource wars, however, will probably raise eyebrows among the international diplomatic community, who prefer to couch such conflicts as human rights-based or rooted in notions around freedom and democracy. The document, however, contains no such lofty pretences. It goes on to list as a pre-eminent threat to the security of the US and its allies “population growth - especially in less-developed countries - [which] will expose a resulting ‘youth bulge’.” This youth bulge, the document goes on to state, will present the US with further “resource competition” in that these expanding populations in the developing world “will consume ever increasing amounts of food, water and energy”. The document goes on to describe in broad-strokes the manner in which its downsized military might ensure survival of the fittest for the US and its allies in future resource wars for water, food and energy. As a consequence of identifying growing populations in the developed world as a threat in itself, the strategy document highlights a number of paradigm shifts in the way future wars are to be conducted. It predicts that “21st Century operations will require soldiers to engage among populations and diverse cultures instead of avoiding them”. The document reveals that new US tactical doctrine provides a template by which air, naval and field commanders will no longer just secure traditional strategic targets such as airspace, seaports and bridgeheads, but will, of necessity, also deploy and fight amongst and against the target population itself to win wars. The document refers to this euphemistically as “commanders employing offensive, defensive and stability or civil support operations simultaneously”. The remainder of the document is devoted to describing in detail how a downsized all volunteer US military - numbering approximately one million soldiers, aircrew and sailors - could maintain an ever-present, international, offensive posture in many countries across many time-zones. It describes how information communication technologies and digital technologies will create a new “networked” human soldier - the ‘Future Force Warrior’ - who will deploy among the target population and will operate simultaneously several remote, unmanned ground and air weapons systems. To this end, the US military is rapidly expanding its inventory of computerised, robotic ground weapons and unmanned aerial vehicles . According to the strategy document, by supplementing relatively small forces of US troops - brigade combat teams - with ever-larger fleets of remotely controlled, unmanned weapons systems, America will be able to successfully deploy its downsized military to maximum effect among the emerging international youth bulge. Supplementing these future global offensive operations, according to the strategy document, is the US military’s planned domination of inner space or the earth’s exo-atmospheric zone. The document states: “Space is a significant area of joint development that supports battle space awareness and is the backbone for the national and military intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance architecture, as well as being the domain of choice for commercial broad-area sensing enterprises with military utility.” Together with the US Missile Defence Agency, the US military is currently developing “space-based assets continuously monitoring the globe”. The report elaborates on this by stating that “army space forces are deployed worldwide supporting US efforts to fight and win [the global war on terror].” The report adds that US military “space control operations ensure freedom of action in space for the United States and its allies and when necessary, deny an adversary freedom of action in space”. The document refers to operations in Iraq in the past tense. It implies that operations in Afghanistan may be expanded. It states explicitly that the US military is preparing to fight continuous resource wars “for the long haul”. The document also describes explicitly the manner in which the earth’s orbit is now deemed a legitimate zone for offensive military activity. This extraordinary document describes US strategic doctrine in terms worthy of 20th century science fiction. The mix of 20th century science fiction and Orwellian perspectives unwittingly contained in the document appear rapidly to be materialising as fact. Dr Tom Clonan is the Irish Times Security Analyst. He lectures in the School of Media, DIT. tclonan@irish-times.ie Have Your Say: US generals planning for resource wars Please read our posting guidelines before posting. Alternatively you can discuss this report here. Related News
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