Promotion an ominous sign of possible war with Iran推廣是一個不祥的徵兆的可能發生的戰爭與伊朗
By通過 Farrah Hassen farrah hassen |
The promotion of Gen. David Petraeus is another ominous sign that the Bush administration may attack Iran.促進將軍大衛彼得雷烏斯是另一個不祥的徵兆認為，布什政府可能攻打伊朗。
President Bush is nominating Petraeus, Commanding General of the Multi-National Force in Iraq, to replace Adm. William Fallon as head of Centcom: US Central Command, which oversees the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.美國總統布什提名彼得雷烏斯，指揮一般的多國部隊在伊拉克，以取代海軍威廉法倫擔任centcom ：美國中央司令部，負責監督阿富汗戰爭和伊拉克戰爭。
Fallon was forced to resign last month after his outspoken opposition to an attack on Iran.法倫被迫辭職後，上個月，他直言不諱地反對一對伊朗發動攻擊。 Petraeus, by contrast, has been heating up the rhetoric against Iran.彼得雷烏斯，相比之下，不斷升溫的言論對伊朗的。
“Iran has fueled the violence in a particularly damaging way through its lethal support to the special groups,” Petraeus testified to Congress in early April. “伊朗已經助長了暴力在一個特別有害的方式，通過其致命的支援，以特殊群體， ”彼得雷烏斯在國會作證在四月初。 Those special groups (meaning, the militias) pose the biggest threat to the United States, he added.這些特殊群體（即，民兵）構成的最大威脅到美國，他補充說。
He blamed Iran for the rocket attacks on the Green Zone, and he warned, “We should all watch Iranian actions closely in the weeks and months ahead.”他指責伊朗為火箭彈襲擊對綠區，和他警告說， “我們都應該觀賞伊朗的行動，密切合作，在今後幾週和幾個月” 。
Petraeus’ boss issued a warning of his own.彼得雷烏斯'老闆發出警告，他自己的。 “The regime in Tehran also has a choice to make,” Bush said on April 10. “該政權在德黑蘭也有作出選擇， ”布什說， 4月10日。 “If Iran makes the right choice, America will encourage a peaceful relationship between Iran and Iraq. “如果伊朗作出的選擇是正確的，美國將鼓勵一個和平的關係，伊朗和伊拉克。 If Iran makes the wrong choice, America will act to protect our interests, and our troops and our Iraqi partners.”如果伊朗作出錯誤的選擇，美國將採取行動，保護我們的利益，而我們的軍隊和我們的伊拉克夥伴“ 。
But neither Petraeus nor Bush mentioned the role Iran played in mediating a ceasefire between the Iraqi government and Shiite militias in Basra last month.但也彼得雷烏斯也不布什提到伊朗發揮的作用，在調解之間的停火，伊拉克政府和什葉派民兵在巴士拉上個月。 Rather than blaming Iran, they should have been thanking it.而不是怨天尤人，伊朗，他們應該已經感謝。
Bush has also continued to hype Tehran’s nuclear threat.布什還繼續炒作德黑蘭的核威脅。 Instead of acknowledging the December 2007 National Intelligence Estimate, which concluded that Iran had suspended its nuclear weapons program, Bush criticized the report.而不是承認2007年12月，國家情報估計，得出結論認為，伊朗已暫停其核武計劃，布什批評了這份報告。 In a March 20 interview with US-funded Radio Farda, which broadcasts into Iran, Bush insisted that President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s government seeks “a nuclear weapon to destroy people — some in the Middle East.”在1 3月20日採訪了美國資助的電台Farda “ ，其中廣播節目進入伊朗，布什堅持認為，總統艾哈邁迪內賈德的政府的目的是”核武器摧毀人-一些在中東地區“ 。
If the run-up to the Iraq War serves as an example, with the administration dismissing facts about Iraq that contradicted its case for regime change, Americans should remain concerned about a possible US strike on Iran.如果運行的後續行動，伊拉克戰爭服務作為一個例子，與政府當局解僱的事實，對伊拉克說，其矛盾的情況下進行政權更替，美國人應繼續關注美國可能對伊朗進行罷工。
Bush could justify an attack on Iran’s military or nuclear facilities by claiming to protect US troops in Iraq against Shiite militias with links to Tehran.布什的理由一對伊朗發動攻擊的軍事或核設施，聲稱以保護美軍在伊拉克對什葉派民兵與鏈接到德黑蘭。 Iran could retaliate by not only threatening those troops, but also by inspiring Hezbollah in Lebanon to mobilize jihadists against Israel and the United States.伊朗可能報復，不僅威脅到這些部隊，但也啟發真主黨在黎巴嫩調動聖戰反對以色列和美國。
The United States cannot afford to be bogged down in another war.美國絕不能陷入在另一場戰爭。 The projected cost of the Iraq War has reached $3 trillion.預計費用對伊拉克戰爭的已達到3萬億美元。 To date, more than 4,000 Americans have been killed there.到目前為止， 4000多美國人已被殺害。
Meanwhile, Afghanistan remains unstable, and any attack by the United States on Iran would distract the Pentagon from its task of controlling Afghanistan and tracking down Osama bin Laden.與此同時，阿富汗仍然不穩定，任何攻擊是由美國對伊朗將分散五角大樓從它的任務控制阿富汗和追踪拉登。
Such an attack would also inflame anti-American sentiment throughout the Muslim world.這種攻擊也將激起反美情緒，整個穆斯林世界。 Already, according to a recent Arab Public Opinion poll, 83 percent of those polled in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and the United Arab Emirates hold an unfavorable view of the United States.已經，根據最近一個阿拉伯的民意調查顯示， 83 ％的受訪者在沙特阿拉伯，埃及，約旦，黎巴嫩，摩洛哥和阿拉伯聯合酋長國舉行的一個不利美國的看法。
A more constructive US posture should elevate diplomacy and negotiations with Iran.一個更有建設性的姿態，美國應該提高外交和談判與伊朗。 Bush, along with the current presidential aspirants, should review the Iraq Study Group’s recommendations.布什，隨著目前的總統有志，應重新檢討伊拉克研究小組的建議。
Here’s one worth testing out: The United States should “engage directly” with Iran to “obtain their commitment to constructive policies toward Iraq and other regional issues.”這裡的一個值得測試指出：美國應該“直接接觸”與伊朗“取得他們的承諾，以建設性的政策，對伊拉克和其他地區問題” 。
The alternative is just too hazardous.另類只是太危險。
Farrah Hassen , a Syrian-American, is the Carol Jean and Edward F. Newman Fellow of the Institute for Policy Studies in Washington, DC She can be reached at pmproj@progressive.org. farrah hassen ，敘利亞-美國，是讓卡羅爾和愛德華樓紐曼同胞的政策研究學會在華盛頓特區，她可以達成pmproj@progressive.org 。
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