Promotion an ominous sign of possible war with Iran推广是一个不祥的征兆的可能发生的战争与伊朗
By通过 Farrah Hassen farrah hassen |
The promotion of Gen. David Petraeus is another ominous sign that the Bush administration may attack Iran.促进将军大卫彼得雷乌斯是另一个不祥的征兆认为，布什政府可能攻打伊朗。
President Bush is nominating Petraeus, Commanding General of the Multi-National Force in Iraq, to replace Adm. William Fallon as head of Centcom: US Central Command, which oversees the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.美国总统布什提名彼得雷乌斯，指挥一般的多国部队在伊拉克，以取代海军威廉法伦担任centcom ：美国中央司令部，负责监督阿富汗战争和伊拉克战争。
Fallon was forced to resign last month after his outspoken opposition to an attack on Iran.法伦被迫辞职后，上个月，他直言不讳地反对一对伊朗发动攻击。 Petraeus, by contrast, has been heating up the rhetoric against Iran.彼得雷乌斯，相比之下，不断升温的言论对伊朗的。
“Iran has fueled the violence in a particularly damaging way through its lethal support to the special groups,” Petraeus testified to Congress in early April. “伊朗已经助长了暴力在一个特别有害的方式，通过其致命的支援，以特殊群体， ”彼得雷乌斯在国会作证在四月初。 Those special groups (meaning, the militias) pose the biggest threat to the United States, he added.这些特殊群体（即，民兵）构成的最大威胁到美国，他补充说。
He blamed Iran for the rocket attacks on the Green Zone, and he warned, “We should all watch Iranian actions closely in the weeks and months ahead.”他指责伊朗为火箭弹袭击对绿区，和他警告说， “我们都应该观赏伊朗的行动，密切合作，在今后几周和几个月” 。
Petraeus’ boss issued a warning of his own.彼得雷乌斯'老板发出警告，他自己的。 “The regime in Tehran also has a choice to make,” Bush said on April 10. “该政权在德黑兰也有作出选择， ”布什说， 4月10日。 “If Iran makes the right choice, America will encourage a peaceful relationship between Iran and Iraq. “如果伊朗作出的选择是正确的，美国将鼓励一个和平的关系，伊朗和伊拉克。 If Iran makes the wrong choice, America will act to protect our interests, and our troops and our Iraqi partners.”如果伊朗作出错误的选择，美国将采取行动，保护我们的利益，而我们的军队和我们的伊拉克伙伴“ 。
But neither Petraeus nor Bush mentioned the role Iran played in mediating a ceasefire between the Iraqi government and Shiite militias in Basra last month.但也彼得雷乌斯也不布什提到伊朗发挥的作用，在调解之间的停火，伊拉克政府和什叶派民兵在巴士拉上个月。 Rather than blaming Iran, they should have been thanking it.而不是怨天尤人，伊朗，他们应该已经感谢。
Bush has also continued to hype Tehran’s nuclear threat.布什还继续炒作德黑兰的核威胁。 Instead of acknowledging the December 2007 National Intelligence Estimate, which concluded that Iran had suspended its nuclear weapons program, Bush criticized the report.而不是承认2007年12月，国家情报估计，得出结论认为，伊朗已暂停其核武计划，布什批评了这份报告。 In a March 20 interview with US-funded Radio Farda, which broadcasts into Iran, Bush insisted that President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s government seeks “a nuclear weapon to destroy people — some in the Middle East.”在1 3月20日采访了美国资助的电台Farda “ ，其中广播节目进入伊朗，布什坚持认为，总统艾哈迈迪内贾德的政府的目的是”核武器摧毁人-一些在中东地区“ 。
If the run-up to the Iraq War serves as an example, with the administration dismissing facts about Iraq that contradicted its case for regime change, Americans should remain concerned about a possible US strike on Iran.如果运行的后续行动，伊拉克战争服务作为一个例子，与政府当局解雇的事实，对伊拉克说，其矛盾的情况下进行政权更替，美国人应继续关注美国可能对伊朗进行罢工。
Bush could justify an attack on Iran’s military or nuclear facilities by claiming to protect US troops in Iraq against Shiite militias with links to Tehran.布什的理由一对伊朗发动攻击的军事或核设施，声称以保护美军在伊拉克对什叶派民兵与链接到德黑兰。 Iran could retaliate by not only threatening those troops, but also by inspiring Hezbollah in Lebanon to mobilize jihadists against Israel and the United States.伊朗可能报复，不仅威胁到这些部队，但也启发真主党在黎巴嫩调动圣战反对以色列和美国。
The United States cannot afford to be bogged down in another war.美国绝不能陷入在另一场战争。 The projected cost of the Iraq War has reached $3 trillion.预计费用对伊拉克战争的已达到3万亿美元。 To date, more than 4,000 Americans have been killed there.到目前为止， 4000多美国人已被杀害。
Meanwhile, Afghanistan remains unstable, and any attack by the United States on Iran would distract the Pentagon from its task of controlling Afghanistan and tracking down Osama bin Laden.与此同时，阿富汗仍然不稳定，任何攻击是由美国对伊朗将分散五角大楼从它的任务控制阿富汗和追踪拉登。
Such an attack would also inflame anti-American sentiment throughout the Muslim world.这种攻击也将激起反美情绪，整个穆斯林世界。 Already, according to a recent Arab Public Opinion poll, 83 percent of those polled in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and the United Arab Emirates hold an unfavorable view of the United States.已经，根据最近一个阿拉伯的民意调查显示， 83 ％的受访者在沙特阿拉伯，埃及，约旦，黎巴嫩，摩洛哥和阿拉伯联合酋长国举行的一个不利美国的看法。
A more constructive US posture should elevate diplomacy and negotiations with Iran.一个更有建设性的姿态，美国应该提高外交和谈判与伊朗。 Bush, along with the current presidential aspirants, should review the Iraq Study Group’s recommendations.布什，随着目前的总统有志，应重新检讨伊拉克研究小组的建议。
Here’s one worth testing out: The United States should “engage directly” with Iran to “obtain their commitment to constructive policies toward Iraq and other regional issues.”这里的一个值得测试指出：美国应该“直接接触”与伊朗“取得他们的承诺，以建设性的政策，对伊拉克和其他地区问题” 。
The alternative is just too hazardous.另类只是太危险。
Farrah Hassen , a Syrian-American, is the Carol Jean and Edward F. Newman Fellow of the Institute for Policy Studies in Washington, DC She can be reached at pmproj@progressive.org. farrah hassen ，叙利亚-美国，是让卡罗尔和爱德华楼纽曼同胞的政策研究学会在华盛顿特区，她可以达成pmproj@progressive.org 。
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