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De Studie van de overheid kritiseert de Maatregelen van het Beleid van Bush van Vooruitgang in Irak

Dinsdag, 24 Juni, 2008

Door JAMES GLANZ, De New York Times | Voorbij de dalingen in algemeen geweld in Irak, zijn verscheidene essentiële maatregelen het het beleidsgebruik van Bush om economische, politieke en veiligheidsvooruitgang aan te tonen of onjuist of ver meer gemengd dan het beleid, volgens een rapport vrijgegeven Maandag door het Bureau van de Verantwoordingsplicht van de Overheid heeft erkend.

Meer dan allen, zegt het rapport, het Amerikaanse plan voor gebrek van het stabiele Irak een strategisch kader dat met de doelstellingen van het beleid inschakelt, van aanraking met de werkelijkheid ter plaatse uitvalt en ernstige gebreken in zijn operationele richtlijnen bevat.

Tonen de onlangs vrijgegeven gegevens in het rapport over landelijke aanvallen in Mei aan dat de verhogingen van geweld in Maart en April die weg door een Iraakse overheidsaanval op milities in Basra werden geraakt aan een kalmere periode uiting hebben gegeven. De aantallen dagelijkse aanvallen zijn vergelijkbaar met die vroeger in het jaar geweest, dat over 70 percenten daling sinds Juni 2007 vertegenwoordigt, tonen de gegevens.

Terwijl die cijfers de beoordelingen door Amerikaanse militaire bevelhebbers dat bevestigen houden veel van de de veiligheidsverbeteringen die eerst vorige herfst duidelijk werden nog, de een aantal cijfers die om de bredere zijn gebruikt te tonen vooruitgang in Irak of misleidend of eenvoudig onjuist is, zegt het rapport.

De cijfers van het beleid, volgens het rapport, overdrijven ruim aanwinsten in sommige categorieën, met inbegrip van de bereidheid van het Iraakse Leger, elektriciteitsproductie en hoeveel geld Irak aan zijn wederopbouw besteedt.

En de veiligheidsaanwinsten zelf rusten in groot deel niet op breed-schaalvooruitgang in politieke en sociale verzoening en een goed werkende Iraakse overheid, maar op een paar specifieke vooruitgang die breekbaar blijft, zegt het rapport. De vrij kalme perioderest meestal op de Amerikaanse troepenverhoging, beverige cease-fire dat door loyale milities aan Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr wordt verklaard, en een Amerikaans-Geleid programma om vroegere insurgents te betalen helpen de vrede houden, het rapport zegt.

„Duidelijk er zijn aanzienlijke veranderingen ter plaatse in de veiligheidssituatie,“ bovengenoemde Nathan Freier, een teruggetrokken ambtenaar van het Leger die in Irak in 2005 en 2007 diende en nu een hogere kameraad in het internationale veiligheidsprogramma op het Centrum voor Strategische en Internationale Studies in Washington is.

Het beleid verkiest zich op die verbeteringen, M. te concentreren. Bovengenoemde Freier. But the accountability office report, which Mr. Freier read on Monday, and his own observations in Iraq contain a different message, he said.

“Iraq remains a mixed bag and will continue to do so in perpetuity, to be quite honest,” he added.

Letters from the Treasury Department, the State Department and the Pentagon that were attached to the report all disagreed with many of its central findings. In the language common to such government exchanges, for example, the Pentagon said that it “nonconcurs” with the conclusion that a new strategy for stabilizing Iraq was needed.

The unclassified version of the American plan, laid out by President Bush in January 2007 in what he called “The New Way Forward in Iraq,” is still the proper guideline, according to the Pentagon, whose response was written by Christopher C. Straub, acting deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East.

“The New Way Forward strategy remains valid,” Mr. Straub wrote. “We recognize, as with all strategies, updates and refinements occur at various intervals to take into account changes in the strategic environment.”

But the president set out that plan as something that would take 12 to 18 months and would include achievements like enacting a law to regulate Iraq’s oil industry and handing all of Iraq’s provinces over to Iraqi control, the report says. As of this week, only 9 of 18 provinces had been handed over, according to the report, and the crucial oil law remains to be enacted.

In other cases, what appeared to be promising political developments have faltered. Although the Iraqi Parliament enacted a law reforming the heavy-handed purge from government of former members of the Baath Party, no members have yet been named to the commission created to carry out the law.

Still more important, the report asserts, the administration’s plan is not a strategy at all, but more a series of operational prescriptions scattered among various documents reviewed by the accountability office.

“A strategic plan should be a plan that takes you not only through the short term,” said Joseph A. Christoff, director of international affairs and trade at the accountability office.

“If the New Way Forward only takes you through July 2008, then you don’t have any guidance for achieving an Iraq that can do everything on its own,” including dealing with the threat of terrorism and defending its own borders, Mr. Christoff said.

Perhaps the most confounding element in the report is the sharp disagreement between the accountability office and the administration over the value of basic indicators of progress.

For example, in an analysis based on a classified study of Iraqi Army battalions, the office concludes that just 10 percent of them are capable of operating independently in counterinsurgency operations and that even then they rely on American support.

But the Pentagon, as stated in Mr. Straub’s letter, maintains that 70 percent of Iraqi units are in the lead in counterinsurgency operations. The difference may be partly semantics: Are the Iraqi units in the lead, with Americans close at hand, or are they able to operate on their own? But the office essentially concludes that the Pentagon is claiming that units with far lower readiness grades are ready to lead than it did in the past.

Similarly, by looking at official figures, the office was unable to substantiate American claims that Iraq had spent and committed more than 60 percent of its reconstruction budget in 2007. Instead, the number was 28 percent, the report said.

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One Response to “Government Study Criticizes Bush Administration’s Measures of Progress in Iraq”

  1. pingback:
    Posted: Jun 24th, 2008 at 10:23 pm

    truthseeds.org » Blog Archive » truthseeds 06/24/08

    [...] Government Study Criticizes Bush Administration’s Measures of Progress in Iraq Tuesday, June 24th, 2008 By JAMES GLANZ, New York Times | Beyond the declines in overall violence in Iraq, several crucial measures the Bush administration uses to demonstrate economic, political and security progress are either incorrect or far more mixed than the administration has acknowledged, according to a … [...]

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Government Study Criticizes Bush Administration’s Measures of Progress in Iraq

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