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Εργασία που αντιμετωπίζει τις χειρότερες απώλειές του σε μια παραγωγή

Παρασκευή, 2η Μαΐου 2008

labour.jpgΑπό Andrew Porter και James Kirkup | Το Gordon Brown τίθεται για την τιμωρία των απωλειών στην πρώτη εκλογική δοκιμή του ως πρωθυπουργό μετά από τα συντηρητικά που γίνονται τα βασικά κέρδη σε ολόκληρη τη χώρα. Με περισσότερες από 1 εκατομμύριο ψήφους που μετριούνται, μια προβολή BBC βασισμένη στα αποτελέσματα στη βασική εργασία πρόβλεψης θαλάμων θα καταγράψει 24 τοις εκατό της εθνικής ψηφοφορίας, το χειρότερο αποτέλεσμά της σε μια παραγωγή. Tories προβλήθηκαν για να κερδίσουν 47 τοις εκατό.

Εντούτοις, η επίσημη συντηρητική προβολή HQ έβαλε το τελικό μερίδιο του συμβαλλόμενου μέρους σε 43 τοις εκατό.

Tories κέρδισαν τον έλεγχο μιας σειράς συμβουλίων στόχων, η συμπερίληψη θάβει και Southampton, και κοντά έχει κερδίσει σχεδόν 70 έδρες των συμβουλίων.

Η εργασία σε αντίθεση, έχει χάσει περισσότερες από 60 έδρες των συμβουλίων και τον έλεγχο τεσσάρων συμβουλίων.

Οι συντηρητικοί στρατηγικοί προβλέπουν ότι το συμβαλλόμενο μέρος ήταν στη σειρά μαθημάτων για να κερδίσει περισσότερες από 200 έδρες των συμβουλίων, ενώ οι ανώτεροι υπάλληλοι εργασίας αναγνώρισαν ήταν πιθανό να χάσουν εκείνο τον αριθμό. Ο Tory ηγέτης Δαβίδ Cameron είναι πιθανό να απαιτήσει ότι τα αποτελέσματα είναι μεγαλύτερη εκλογική ώθηση του συμβαλλόμενου μέρους του ενώ στην αντίθεση.

Ένας εκπρόσωπος είπε: «Το Gordon Brown είχε τη ζωή του στη στιγμή του Άρη. Πήγε στον ύπνο το 2008 και σήμερα ξυπνά με την υποστήριξη πίσω στο χειρότερο το συμβαλλόμενο μέρος του έχει δει δεδομένου ότι τα αρχεία άρχισαν το 1973.»

Καθώς τα αποτελέσματα μπήκαν, ο Υπουργός Λονδίνου Tessa Jowell, που η εκστρατεία της εργασίας στο κεφάλαιο, παραχώρησε ότι «αυτό είναι πιθανό να είναι σκληρό».

John Denham, ο γραμματέας πανεπιστημίων και ο βουλευτής εργασίας για Southampton Itchen, είπαν ότι η κυβέρνηση έπρεπε τώρα να ακούσει τους φόβους των νότιων ψηφοφόρων μεσαίων τάξεων.

Είπε: «Έχουν υπάρξει μερικές απογοητεύσεις απόψε. Πρέπει να επιστρέψουμε στους ψηφοφόρους και να πούμε εμείς ακούμε, θα επιστρέψουμε σε αυτό που οι άνθρωποι έχουν απολαύσει στο νότο στα προηγούμενα 10 έτη.»

Η σκιά καγκελάριος George Osborne είπε ότι εμοίασε με την επρόκειτο να είναι «μια πολύ καλή νύχτα» για τα συντηρητικά.

Τα αποτελέσματα πρότειναν ότι ο κ. Brown θα αντιμετωπίσει ένα καλοκαίρι της δυσαρέσκειας δεδομένου ότι οι βουλευτές του εξετάζουν εάν υπάρχει οποιαδήποτε δυνατότητα ότι μπορεί να οδηγήσει την εργασία σε μια γενική επιτυχία εκλογής. Labour insiders feared the results would be even worse than Tony Blair’s poor showing at last year’s local elections.

Only a win today for Ken Livingstone in London over Boris Johnson would save any face for Labour. The results are not expected until this evening and last night the result still appeared on a knife edge.

The Conservatives unexpectedly picked up wards in Swansea, Sunderland, Durham and Wigan.

In perhaps the biggest surprise of the early declaration, the Tories also won control of Southampton from its ruling Labour-Lib Dem coalition.

The last time the Tories held control in the city was 1984. The party also won control of Bedworth, Harlow and West Lindsey councils.

All had been considered possible but not probable gains for Mr Cameron’s party, and the results fuelled expectations of a dismal night for Labour.

The Liberal Democrats meanwhile claimed they had taken control of Hull, once a Labour stronghold.

Labour was resigned to lose Reading, a council it has held since 1986 and its last southern foothold outside London.

There were 4,023 seats up for election on 137 English councils and 22 Welsh ones.

London voters were also choosing a mayor, with the results of the race between Mr Livingstone and Mr Johnson due to be declared this evening.

The elections are the first real test of Gordon Brown’s standing among voters.

David Chaytor, Labour MP for Bury North, said many voters were unconvinced by Gordon Brown’s record to date.

He said: “Floating voters are still uncertain about the Government and how it has performed over the past six months. We knew this was going to be a difficult night.”

”Our aim has been to limit the damage and hold on to what we have got.”

However, the biggest Conservative hope for gains in the north, North Tyneside, will not declare until this afternoon.

And Labour was preparing to take some cold comfort from the Tories’ continued troubles in bid northern cities.

After several dismal weeks and the damaging Labour rebellion over the 10 p tax rate, senior Labour sources believe disillusioned voters have delivered a severe reprimand to his Government.

Based on private reports from Labour activists, the party was projecting a “spread” of 25 Â 27 per cent of the vote, against 44 Â 47 per cent for the Tories.

Turn out is thought to be up throughout the country and in London.

Labour strategists plan to blame bad results on popular worries about the economy and the global credit crunch.

”These are elections being fought against a difficult economic backdrop,” said Ed Miliband, the Cabinet Office minister and a key confidante of Mr Brown.

Labour figures are taking limited comfort in their projections that the Tories will not make major gains in the North of England, suggesting the Conservatives will not realise their ambitions to take councils like North Tyneside and Bury.

Mr Brown will “take it on the chin” and come out in a string of media appearances on Sunday to say he understands the anger and concern of voters, and promise to respond over the coming months and years.

Key to the Labour recovery strategy is an optimistic view of the UK economy. The Bank of England on Wednesday said that the worst of the global credit crunch could be over and Mr Brown is betting on a significant up-turn.

Yet an ICM poll for BBC Newsnight shows that the economy is, for now, a major Labour vulnerability.

The poll, showed the share of voters who trust to run the economy is 32 per cent, down from 48 per cent a year ago.

The Tories meanwhile scored 46 per cent, up from 36 per cent.

Labour’s long-term strategy is to meet such concerns by drawing a sharp contrast between Mr Brown’s decade at the Treasury with Mr Cameron’s lack of significant government experience.

In the Commons on Wednesday, Mr Brown derided his opponent as a “shallow salesman” who lacks substance.

Speaking on BBC Newsnight last night, Mr Miliband said personal credibility will be decisive.

He said: “In difficult economic times, Gordon Brown is absolutely the right person to lead Britain.”

The ICM poll showed that

42 per cent of voters believe the Prime Minster is an electoral asset for Labour, and 52 per cent said he is a liability

Mr Cameron’s ratings were 68 per cent against 24 per cent.

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