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布什爬上反伊朗修辞

星期二, 2007年10月2日
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巴尔尼搬运工

它报告美国也许移动了步离军事行动较近反对伊朗,但也有在潜在目标上的一个变化。

一个新的报告建议所有攻击的目标是伊朗的革命卫兵,而不是国家的核设施。

普利策得奖的新闻工作者Seymour Hersh书写关于美国罢工的可能性在伊朗在过去18个月。

在他的最新的文章上为 纽约人 杂志和在电视采访,他声称澳洲有“表达的兴趣”在概念。

公众值得怀疑

在他的最新的文章上为 纽约人 他争论布什政府承认了美国公众不是说服伊朗姿势每临近核威胁。

同时,他说有一个更新的焦点在攻击的增长的数量对联合力量的在伊拉克,并且声称伊朗军火扮演一个关键角色。

这是讲话的一部分由乔治· W布什总统在八月下旬。

“对我们的基地和我们的队伍的攻击由伊朗由供应的军火在最近几个月内增加了,尽管承诺由帮助的伊朗稳定安全情况在伊拉克”,布什先生在讲话说。

“我在伊拉克将采取行动必要保护我们的队伍,我批准我们的军事司令员面对德黑兰的凶恶的活动”。

hersh先生援引这修辞作为从布什政府出来的改变的口气的证据。

“比赛的名字曾经是他们是一个核威胁,伊朗很快有炸弹,我们必须做它,我们有战前在伊拉克有点儿的同一场比赛”,他说。

“什么发生是那最后几个月他们来了到是它不卖的认识,美国人民没有担心伊朗作为一个核威胁,一定,他们关于伊拉克,那里是正义的一些怀疑。

“如此他们交换了,真正地”。

hersh先生说他相信现在有公众舆论在的美国公众之内,如果伊朗活跃地追求计划开发核武器,他们是外至少五年从他们的目标。

他说在管理的方法中打翻了转移。

“Instead of trying to sell it, not only to the American people but to its allies, the notion of a massive bombing against the infrastructure, what they call counter-proliferation against the infrastructure of the Iraqi bomb, hitting the various facilities that we know exist - instead, they’ve now decided that they’re going to hit the Iranians, payback for hitting us,” he said.

“They’re going to hit the Revolutionary Guard headquarters and facilities, they’re going to tone down the bombing, they’re going to shift it. It’s going to be more surgical.”

Mr Hersh says the new strategy involves a subtle change of targets.

“We’re threatening Iran, we’ve been doing it constantly, but instead of saying to the American people and instead of saying internally, ‘It’s going to be about nuclear weapons’, it’s now going about getting the guys that are killing our boys,” he said.

“We’re going to hit the border facilities, the facilities inside Iraq that we think are training terrorists, we’re going to hit the facilities we think are supplying some of the explosive devices into Iraq.

“This is the administration’s position.”

Australia on board?

He also claims the Bush administration’s new focus is getting support from its allies, including Australia.

“The Brits are interested in this idea, there have been expressions of interest from Australia, other countries, the Israelis of course have gone bananas, they’re very upset about the idea of not going,” he said.

“If you’re going to go into Iran, the Israeli position is very firm, they want us to go, and they want us to hit hard. … An Israeli told me, if you run into a lion, you either shoot it, or ignore it, you don’t pluck out its eyebrows.

“Going in and taking out the Revolutionary Guard and not taking out the nuclear facilities, for the Israelis is it a non-starter.

“But that’s the plan, the plan is to be more surgical, more careful, and they’re getting some of their allies on board.”

Last week, Foreign Affairs Minister Alexander Downer said he called on Iran to stop supplying weapons to militias in Iraq during a recent bilateral meeting with Iran’s Foreign Minister.

A spokesman for the Minister’s office declined to respond to Mr Hersh’s latest claims.

‘The opening gambit’

Dr Michael McKinley, a senior lecturer in International Relations and Strategy at the Australian National University, says a US attack would lead to war.

“If the United States was to engage in surgical strikes, as some people are once again talking about, you would have to say that Iran could very well behave in such a way, and there’d be a broad scope of possibilities here, where a widely escalated war would need to ensue after that, because I cannot imagine that Iran would just allow itself to be attacked without taking some sort of forceful reaction,” he said.

He is unconvinced an attack on Iran would stop with ’surgical strikes’.

“You have to challenge the logic of it, because if you attack Iran because it seems to be supporting activities inside Iraq, then by the logic that everybody in the decision-making framework seems to have, Iran would then speed up its alleged nuclear weapons program,” he said.

“That would be the logical way of regarding an Iranian reaction, which would then of course require a further and much stronger reaction on its nuclear sites from the United States.

“So this would appear to be only the opening gambit, rather than a one-off, if you take everybody’s logic at face value.”

Dr McKinley says he believes there there is a disposition in the US administration to take some form of military action against Iran.

“I would be more surprised rather than less surprised if there was not an attack sometime before the Bush administration leaves office,” he said.

Mr Hersh agrees.

“What I do know, is he wants to do something,” he said.

“He will not leave Iran in a position to be a nuclear power and a position to be a threat.”


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