Older, white, educated US voters who helped Donald Trump win the presidency in 2016 are now trending toward the Democratic Party in such numbers that their ballots could undermine Republican Party candidates in congressional midterm elections in November, according to a new poll.
Nationwide, whites over the age of 60 with college degrees now favor Democrats over Republicans for Congress by a 2-point margin, which could tip the scales in tight congressional races from New Jersey to California, according to Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.
During the same period in 2016, that same group favored Republicans for Congress by 10 percentage points, the survey and a data analysis of competitive districts shows.
The 12-point swing is one of the largest shifts in support toward Democrats that the Reuters/Ipsos poll has measured over the past two years.
If that trend continues, Republican lawmakers will struggle to maintain their majority in the Senate and…