Breaking News 突發新聞 | | Forum 論壇 | | UK News 英國新聞 | | USA News 美國新聞 | | World News 世界新聞 | | Political News 政治新聞 | | Sci-Tech News 科技新聞 | | War & Terrorism News 戰爭和恐怖主義新聞 | | Sports News 體育新聞 | | Multimedia 多媒體 | | Set Homepage 設為首頁

BREAKING NEWS 突發新聞

Tuesday, June 24th, 2008 週二， 2008年6月24日

By Juan Cole | American television loves natural disasters.由胡安科爾|美國電視熱愛自然災害。 The Burmese cyclones that may have carried off as many as 200,000 people offered the cameras high drama.緬甸的旋風，可能已進行過多達20.0萬人提供了相機高戲劇。

The floods in Wisconsin, Iowa and Missouri along the Mississippi River, which have wiped out thousands of homes, have been carefully detailed hour by hour.洪水在威斯康星州，愛荷華州和密蘇里州沿密西西比河，其中有消滅數以千計的家園，已仔細詳細小時小時。

But American television但美國電視 is little interested in the massive disaster很少有興趣的大規模災害 blithely visited upon Iraq by Washington. blithely訪問後，伊拉克由華盛頓。 Oh, there is the occasional human interest story.哦，是有人類偶然利益的故事。 Angelina Jolie’s visit sparked a headline or two.安潔莉娜裘莉的訪問引發了一個標題或2 。 Briefly.簡單。

By now, summer of 2008, excess deaths from violence in Iraq since March of 2003現在， 2008年夏季，過多死亡人數從伊拉克境內的暴力活動，自2003年3月 must be at least a million.必須至少為1億美元。 This conclusion can be reached這一結論可以達到 more than one way以上的方法之一 . 。 There is not much controversy about it有沒有太大的爭議，它 in the scientific community在科學界 . 。 Some 310,000 of those were probably killed by US troops or by the US Air Force, with the bulk dying in bombing raids by US fighter jets and helicopter gunships on densely populated city and town quarters.一些310000那些人可能喪生的美軍，或由美空軍，大部分死於空襲，美國戰鬥機和武裝直升機對人煙稠密的城市和城市的宿舍。

In absolute numbers, that would be like bombing to death everyone in Pittsburgh, Pa. Or Cincinnati, Oh.從絕對數字，那將是一樣的轟炸死刑，每個人都在匹茲堡，賓夕法尼亞州或辛辛那提，哦。

Only, the US is 11 times more populous than Iraq, so 310,000 Iraqi corpses would equal 3.4 million dead Americans.只是，美國是11倍以上人口超過伊拉克，使伊拉克的31.0萬具屍體，將相當於340萬美國人死亡。 So proportionally it would be like firebombing to death everyone in Chicago.因此，在比例上便像firebombing死刑，每個人都在芝加哥。

The one million number includes not just war-related deaths but all killings beyond what you would have expected from the 2000-2002 baseline.該一百萬的數目，包括不正義的戰爭有關的死亡個案，但所有的殺戮超越什麼，您將可望從2000年至2002年的基線。 That is, if tribal feuds got out of hand and killed a lot of people because the Baath police were demobilized or disarmed and so no longer intervened, those deaths go into the mix.也就是說，如果部落仇恨失控，另一方面又殺了很多人因為復興黨警方退伍或解除武裝，並因此不再進行干預，這些死亡，進入結構。 All the Sunnis killed in the north of Hilla Province (the ‘triangle of death’) when Shiite clans displaced from the area by Saddam came back up to reclaim their farms would be included.所有殺害遜尼派在伊拉克北部的希拉省（ '死亡三角' ）時，什葉派部族流離失所者從該地區由薩達姆回來，直至收回其農場將被包括在內。 The kidnap victims killed when the ransom did not arrive in time would be included.被綁架的受害人死亡時，贖金並未到達的時間將被包括在內。 And, of course, the sectarian, ethnic and militia violence, even if Iraqi on Iraqi, would count. ，當然，宗派，種族和民兵的暴力行為，即使伊拉克對伊拉克，將計數。 And it hasn’t been just hot spots like Baghdad, Basra, Mosul and Kirkuk.到現在也沒有得到公正的熱點一樣，巴格達，巴士拉，摩蘇爾和基爾庫克。 The rate of excess violent death has been pretty standard across Arab Iraq.率超過暴力致死的已相當標準的阿拉伯伊拉克。

As for the Iraqis killed by Americans,至於伊拉克人殺害美國人， like the 24 civilians in Haditha像24名平民在哈迪塞 , the survivors are not going to be pro-American any time soon. ，倖存者都不會被親美的任何時間很快。 The US can always find politicians to come out and say nice things on a visit to the Rose Garden.美國總能找到政客們站出來說好話就訪問了玫瑰園。 But the people.但人。 I don’t think the people are saying nice things in Arabic behind our backs.我不認為人民群眾是說好話，在阿拉伯語背後支持我們。

The wars of Iraq– the Iran-Iraq War, the repressions of the Kurds and the Shiites, the Gulf War, and the American Calamity,戰爭的伊拉克-伊朗-伊拉克戰爭，鎮壓的庫爾德人和什葉派穆斯林，在海灣戰爭，和美國的災難， may have left behind as many as 3 million widows可能留下了多達三百萬寡婦 . 。 Having lost their family’s breadwinner, many are destitute.失去了其家庭的經濟支柱，許多人都一無所有。

Although it is very good news that the number of Iraqis killed in political violence fell in May to 532 according to official sources, the number was twice that in March and April.雖然這是一個非常好的消息說，一些伊拉克人死亡，在政治暴力的下降在5月至532據官方消息來源，數量的兩倍，在3月和4月。 And,it should be remembered that而且，應該記住， independent observers have busted the Pentagon for grossly under-reporting獨立觀察員破獲五角大樓嚴重不足的報告 attacks and casualties.襲擊和人員傷亡。 If someone shows up dead and they aren’t sure exactly why, it isn’t counted as political violence, just as an ordinary murder.如果有人表明，死，他們不知道到底為什麼，這是不是算作政治暴力，正如一個普通的謀殺罪。 Attacks per day are measured by whether the mortar shell scratches any US equipment when it explodes.攻擊每天衡量是否迫擊砲彈擦傷任何美國設備時發生爆炸。 If not, it didn’t happen.如果沒有，沒有這回事。 McClatchy estimated a year and a half ago that attacks were being underestimated by a factor of 10.建立起估計在一年半前的攻擊被低估的一個因素10 。

By the way, isn’t is a little odd that the death rate fell in由的方式，是不是一個小奇怪的是，死亡率下降， the month of the Great Mosul Campaign?一個月的偉大摩蘇爾系列？ I conclude that either it can’t have been much of a campaign or someone is cooking the death statistics.我的結論是它要么不能有很多的運動或某人是烹飪的死亡統計。

But over 500 a month dead in political violence is appalling enough.但超過500一個月死在政治暴力事件令人震驚不夠的。 The Srebenica massacre in 1995 killed 8,000.該srebenica大屠殺在1995年死亡8000 。 At the average rate of death in Iraq this winter and spring, a similar massacre will have been racked up in 2008.在平均增長率在伊拉克的死亡，這冬天和春天，一個類似的大屠殺將已racked成立於2008年。 In the Northern Ireland troubles over 30 years, about 3,000 people died, and it was widely considered a bad situation.在北愛爾蘭的麻煩，超過30年，約3000人死亡，它被普遍認為是一個壞的情況。 That death toll is still being achieved every 6 months in Iraq according to the official May statistics.認為，死亡人數仍達到每6個月在伊拉克根據官方的統計數字可能。

And, of course, by the rule of 11,that death toll would be like nearly 6,000 Americans dying in political violence every month, or 72,000 a year.以及，當然，法治的11個，即死亡人數會像近6000美國人死於政治暴力事件，每一個月，或7.2萬1年。 (Note that this 72,000 figure would only be political deaths, since it does not include criminal homicides). （請注意，這72000的數字，只是政治人死亡，因為它並不包括刑事兇殺案） 。 The annual total murder rate in the US is about 16,000, including political violence, what little there is.每年的總的謀殺率，在美國大約是1.6萬，包括政治暴力，什麼是很少有。 The US is one of the most violent societies on earth, and Iraq in May makes it look like a pacifist convention.美國是其中最暴力的社會在地球上，和伊拉克在可能使得它看起來像一個和平主義者公約。

In these situations, typically 3 persons are wounded for every one killed.在這些情況下，通常3人受傷，為每一位死亡。 In Iraq, I suspect it is higher, because US bombings and guerrilla bombings are such a big part of the violence.在伊拉克，我懷疑這是更高，因為美國的轟炸和游擊隊爆炸事件是這樣一個大部份的暴力行為。 But let us be conservative.然而，我們必須先保守。

That would mean 3 million Iraqi wounded in the past five years.這將意味著300萬人受傷，伊拉克在過去5年。

Equivalent to 33 million Americans wounded, that is, the entire state of California crippled or in bandages.相當於3300萬美國人受傷，那就是整個美國加利福尼亞州的致殘或在繃帶。

As for the displaced (ie homeless), they amount to a startling至於流離失所者（即無家可歸） ，他們的金額驚人 5 million persons 500萬人 . 。 There were 1.8 million internally displaced in January of 2007, and by December it had risen to 2.4 million.有180.0萬國內流離失所者在2007年1月，和12月，它已經上升到240萬美元。 There are 2.3 million externally displaced, 2 million of them in Jordan and Syria.有230萬國內外流離失所， 2萬人在約旦和敘利亞。

In fact 5 million displaced persons is almost the entire population of nearby countries such as Jordan or Israel!事實上， 500萬流離失所者，是幾乎整個人口的鄰近國家，如約旦或以色列！ 5 million is about the number of Jews in Israel, for instance. 5000000是關於若干猶太人在以色列，例如。 In absolute numbers, that is how many Iraqis are living in some other country or some other province, having lost their homes.從絕對數字，即有多少伊拉克人是居住在其他一些國家或其他一些省，失去了他們的家園。

Some 1.4 million Iraqis are stuck in Syria,約140萬伊拉克人滯留在敘利亞， many becoming increasingly penniless.許多越來越一貧如洗。 Another 500,000 to 800,000 have been displaced to Jordan, which has now closed its borders to them.另一500000到800000已遷移到約旦，目前已經關閉了邊界。 Please read this excellent piece of reporting, which points out that the US has done diddly squat for these millions of people upon whom it has visited a world class catastrophe, neither allotting meaningful amounts of aid nor admitting more than a token number as immigrants.請先閱讀本優秀作品的報告，其中指出，美國已做diddly蹲下，為這些以百萬計的人後，人已參觀了世界級的災難，無論是有意義的分配數額的援助，也不承認一個多令牌的數目作為移民。 Sweden has admitted 40,000 Iraqis, nearly 4 times what the US even plans to.瑞典已經承認了4.0萬伊拉克人，近4倍，美國甚至計劃。 Please write the Senate and the Congress and demand that something be done for these, our victims.請致函參議院和國會，並要求一些做這些，我們的受害者。

40% of Iraq’s middle class is outside the country. 40 ％ ，伊拉克的中產階層是在該國境外。

Very few of the refugees abroad have returned, only a few thousand.很少在國外的難民已經返回，只有幾千。 Only 12% of the returnees say they are going back because they think it is safe now, according to UN border polls.只有12 ％的回返說，他們回去，因為他們認為它是安全的現在，據聯合國的邊境調查。

The refusal of the refugees to return makes me suspicious of the good news stories about security improvements in Iraq.拒絕難民返回，令我懷疑這個好消息的故事，安全方面的改進在伊拉克。 There is an Arabic proverb that “The people of a house know best what is in the house.”有一個阿拉伯語諺語說： “人民的一所房子最知道什麼是在眾議院中” 。

2 Shiite brothers who returned home to Baquba二什葉派兄弟誰回家巴古拜 an hour northeast of Baghdad were just kidnapped and killed by Sunnis. 1小時巴格達東北只是綁架並殺害由遜尼派。

5 million displaced Iraqis would be like 55 million displaced Americans, or the equivalent of everybody in California and New York combined 500.00萬流離失所的伊拉克人將像5500萬流離失所的美國人，或相等於每個人都在加州和紐約聯合

American commentators peculiarly lack a social dimension to their analyses.美國評論家peculiarly缺乏一個社會層面，以他們的分析。 So if PM Nuri al-Maliki sends some troops up to Mosul and the guerrillas there lie low for a while, that is “progress” and “good news.” Well, maybe it is, I don’t know.因此，如果下午努裡基地-馬利基發送一些部隊到摩蘇爾和游擊隊有謊言低了一會兒，這是“進步”和“好消息”好，也許是，我不知道。

I do know that the apocalypse that the United States has unleashed upon Iraq is among the greatest catastrophes to befall any country in the past 50 years.我確實知道的啟示說，美國發動對伊拉克是最大的災難降臨到任何一個國家在過去的50年。 It is a much worse disaster over time than the Burmese cyclone or the Mississippi floods.這是一個更為嚴重的災難隨著時間的推移，比緬甸氣旋或密西西比河洪水。

You won’t see it on television very much these days.您將不會看到它在電視上十分這些天。

Even if it gets better, it won’t get better very fast for all those millions wounded, widowed, orphaned, and displaced; as for the 1 million dead, as they say in Arabic, God have mercy on them (Allah yarhamhum).即使得到更好的，它不會得到更好的非常快，所有這些數百萬人受傷，鰥寡，孤兒，和流離失所;為100.0萬人死亡，正如他們所說，在阿拉伯語，上帝的憐憫對他們（真主yarhamhum ） 。 Maybe it will get better sooner for the politicians in the Green Zone.可能會得到更好的遲早為政客在綠區。 They are the sort of people that the think tanks in Washington seem to care about.他們的那種人，智庫在華盛頓，似乎並不在乎。

McClatchy reports political violence in Iraq已建立起的政治報告，伊拉克境內的暴力活動 on Saturday:上週六：

‘ Baghdad '巴格達

- Around 1 pm a bomb planted in the car of the office manager of the Iraqi minister of Higher Education and Scientific Research exploded in Al Tobchi neighborhood injuring three including the minister’s office manager. -時至下午1時左右，一枚炸彈放置在汽車，該辦事處的經理，伊拉克高等教育部長和科研爆炸，在A lt obchi居委會死亡， 3人受傷，包括部長的辦公室經理。

- Around 4 pm a bomb planted in a civilian car exploded in Al Nidhal Street injuring two Iraqi employees of a local LG Company branch. -下午4點左右一枚炸彈放置在一個民用爆炸發生在基地n idhal街，兩人受傷的伊拉克僱員當地L G電子公司的分公司。

- Around 5 pm a bomb planted in a police vehicle exploded in Al Andalus square injuring two policemen. -下午五時左右，一枚炸彈放置在一輛警車發生爆炸，在A la ndalus平方米，受傷的兩名警察。

- Police found two dead bodies throughout Baghdad; one in Al Baladiyat, one in Mansour. -警方發現兩具屍體在整個巴格達;一在A lb aladiyat，一在位於曼蘇爾區。

Diyala迪亞拉

- Police found the bodies of two brothers, Ali and Mohamed Zaid, in Al Tahrir neighborhood in Baquba . -警方發現的屍體，有兩個兄弟，阿里和穆罕默德栽德，在A lt ahrir居委會在巴古拜。 . 。 . 。

Kirkuk基爾庫克

- Around 8 am a car exploded in central Kirkuk injuring the two passengers in the car. -上午八時左右，一輛汽車發生爆炸，位於中環的基爾庫克受傷，兩名乘客在車內。 Police said they suspect the two passengers were planning a car bomb attack.警方說，他們懷疑兩名乘客規劃汽車炸彈襲擊。 The two suspects are under investigation, police said.’兩名嫌疑人正在接受調查，警方說。

See More: 看到更多的： Iraq 伊拉克 World News 世界新聞

Have Your Say: The Real State of Iraq 你說：真正的伊拉克國家
Please note, only selected comments will be published.請注意，只有選定的評論將出版。

Or discuss this report in our new forums 或討論這個報告在我們的新論壇

RSS 的RSS TrackBack URL 跟踪 RUI

Name (required) 姓名（必填）

Mail (will not be published) (required) 郵件（不會被公佈） （必填）

Website 網站

This entry was posted on Tuesday, June 24th, 2008 at 5:44 pm and is filed under 此項目被張貼於週二， 2008年6月24日在下午5時44分，並提交下 Contributions & Guests 貢獻＆客人 . 。 You can follow any responses to this entry through the 您可以按照任何的反應，此項目通過 RSS 2.0 2.0 feed. 餵養。 You can 您可以 leave a response 留下的回應 , or ，或 trackback Trackback跟踪 from your own site. 從你自己的網站。

Loading ...載入中...

TOP NEWS DISCUSSIONS top新聞討論

LATEST NEWS DISCUSSIONS 最新消息討論

Activism & Protest News 積極與抗議新聞 | | Business News 商業新聞 | | Civil & Human Rights News 公務員＆人權新聞 | | Environmental News 環境新聞 | | Media News 新聞 | | Globalisation News 全球經濟一體化新聞 | | Web Development News Web開發新聞

ADVERTISEMENTS廣告

SITE MAPS網站地圖

7/7 7 / 7 Afghanistan阿富汗 Alternative Energy替代能源 Art藝術 BBC英國廣播公司 Big Brother大哥哥 Bilderberg 。 Bilderberg Biometrics生物識別技術 Bush布什 CIA美國中央情報局 Climate Change氣候變化 Cover Up掩蓋 Cults邪教 Culture文化 Database State數據庫狀態 David Hicks大衛希克斯 David Ray Griffin朱射線格里芬 Democrats同盟 Demos演示 Drugs藥物 Education教育 EU歐盟 False Flag虛假國旗 FBI美國聯邦調查局 Fraud欺詐 Free Speech免費的講話 Freemasons共濟會 G8八國集團 Globalization全球化 Guantanamo關塔那摩 Health News健康新聞 History歷史 ID Cards身份證 Internet互聯網 Iran伊朗 Iraq伊拉克 Israel以色列 Law法律 Marches遊行 MI5軍情五處 MI6軍情六處 Microsoft微軟 Military軍事 MoD按付款當日價格計算 Money金錢 Music音樂 NASA美國航天局 Neocons新保守主義者 NSA美國國家安全局 Oil石油 Pakistan巴基斯坦 Podcast播客 Police State警察國家 Propaganda宣傳 RFID的RFID RINF rinf Rumsfeld拉姆斯菲爾德 Science科學 Secrecy保密 Security安全 Slavery奴役 Space空間 Sports體育 Spying諜報活動 Stephen Lendman斯蒂芬lendman Technology技術 Terrorism恐怖主義 Tony Blair托尼布萊爾 Torture酷刑 TV電視 UK News英國新聞 UN聯合國 USA News美國新聞 Video視頻 Voting投票 Warfare戰 White House白宮 Wolfowitz沃爾福威茨 World News世界新聞 Yahoo雅虎
2003 - 2005 Archives 2003 -2 005檔案 | 2005 - 2007 Archives 2005年-2 007年檔案 | 2007 - 2008 Archives 2007 -2 008檔案 | Current Archives目前檔案 | Past Version |過去的版本

About 大約 | | DVD Store DVD的商店 | | Opinion 民意 | | Reviews 評語 | | Special Guests 特別來賓 | | Webmasters 網站管理員