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Jueves 31 de enero de 2008

Cómo Bush destruyó el dólar

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El perfil de un país del Tercer Mundo

Por ROBERTS DE CRAIG DE PAUL

It es difícil de saber dónde Bush ha logrado la mayoría de la destrucción, la economía iraquí o la economía de los E.E.U.U.

En la aplicación actual las noticias de la fabricación y de la tecnología, el economista Charles McMillion de Washington observa que siete años de Bush han considerado el aumento federal de la deuda por dos tercios mientras que la deuda de la casa de los E.E.U.U. dobló.

Este estímulo masivo de Keynesian produjo resultados económicos lamentables. Los ingresos reales medianos han declinado. La tarifa de participación de la mano de obra ha declinado. Job growth has been pathetic, with 28% of the new jobs being in the government sector. All the new private sector jobs are accounted for by private education and health care bureaucracies, bars and restaurants. Three and a quarter million manufacturing jobs and a half million supervisory jobs were lost. The number of manufacturing jobs has fallen to the level of 65 years ago.

This is the profile of a third world economy.

The “new economy” has been running a trade deficit in advanced technology products since 2002. The US trade deficit in manufactured goods dwarfs the US trade deficit in oil. The US does not earn enough to pay its import bill, and it doesn’t save enough to finance the government’s budget deficit.

To finance its deficits, America looks to the kindness of foreigners to continue to accept the outpouring of dollars and dollar-denominated debt.

The dollars are accepted, because the dollar is the world’s reserve currency.

At the meeting of the World Economic Forum at Davos, Switzerland, this week, billionaire currency trader George Soros warned that the dollar’s reserve currency role was drawing to an end: “The current crisis is not only the bust that follows the housing boom, it’s basically the end of a 60-year period of continuing credit expansion based on the dollar as the reserve currency. Now the rest of the world is increasingly unwilling to accumulate dollars.”

If the world is unwilling to continue to accumulate dollars, the US will not be able to finance its trade deficit or its budget deficit. As both are seriously out of balance, the implication is for yet more decline in the dollar’s exchange value and a sharp rise in prices.

Economists have romanticized globalism, taking delight in the myriad of foreign components in US brand name products. This is fine for a country whose trade is in balance or whose currency has the reserve currency role. It is a terrible dependency for a country such as the US that has been busy at work offshoring its economy while destroying the exchange value of its currency.

As the dollar sheds value and loses its privileged position as reserve currency, US living standards will take a serious knock.

If the US government cannot balance its budget by cutting its spending or by raising taxes, the day when it can no longer borrow will see the government paying its bills by printing money like a third world banana republic. Inflation and more exchange rate depreciation will be the order of the day.

Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan administration. He was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal editorial page and Contributing Editor of National Review. He is coauthor of The Tyranny of Good Intentions.He can be reached at: PaulCraigRoberts@yahoo.com

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Comment on 'How Bush Destroyed the Dollar' :

2 Responses to “How Bush Destroyed the Dollar”

  1. cush
    Posted: Feb 5th, 2008 at 12:18 am | Link to this

    I’d hardly blame the Bush children for the devaluation of the dollar although Jr. certainly accomplished nil in any restorative efforts. After all, the residing chief was almost voted in as president. People are somewhat smarter now that their milk needs cut into their beer desire. To be fair though, the scenario has been in place for nearly a hundred years. The gradual erosion is quickening and soon the block of salt with water dripping on it will collapse.
    Remember, things as land, gold, silver, and oil maintain a constant value. It’s dollars’ value that flucuates according to true worth.

    Reply

  2. Static-X
    Posted: Feb 5th, 2008 at 6:26 am | Link to this

    In fairness cush the same group of neocons have been controlling the American economy since the 70’s, which the Bush family has always played a major role in.

    This is mainly down to the national dept which is over $48 Trillion and the personal cost to you - the American citizen is $30,287.47

    Take a look at this graph:
    http://www.ontheissues.org/AskMe/natdebt.gif

    Reply

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