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Wednesday, June 11th, 2008周三, 2008年6月11日
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An alternative to oil?替代石油?

Wednesday, June 11th, 2008 周三, 2008年6月11日

oil-crisis.jpg By通过 Lee Waters李水域 | Oil prices could reach $200 a barrel by the end of the year, and the cost of filling up is rising nearly as fast. |石油价格可能达到200美元每桶到今年年底,成本填补正在崛起几乎一样快。 Lee Waters, of sustainable transport charity Sustrans, explains why it’s time to explore better ways to get around without the car李水域的,可持续的运输慈善sustrans ,解释了为何它的时间去探索更好的方法来绕开无车

FUEL protesters rarely have difficulty grabbing the headlines or gaining public sympathy.燃料示威者很少有困难,抢头条新闻或获取市民的同情。 After all, who wouldn’t rather pay less to fill up their car?毕竟,谁也不会少付,而不是填补他们的车呢?

It seems quite likely that the Government will again back down from its planned increase in petrol tax this autumn.看来,很可能表示,政府将再次回到下跌,从计划增加在汽油税,今年秋天。 But the way the price of oil has been going, who is going to notice an extra 2p a litre?但方式,石油价格已持续了,谁去通知,额外的2名专业人员,每公升?

Surely it can’t keep on going up and up?当然不能保持对不断上升呢? Ten years ago the price of oil was trading at $13 a barrel.十年前,石油价格的交易于13美元每桶。 Five years ago it had doubled to $25.五年前,它已翻了一番,达到25元。 It hit nearly $140 last week.它击中了近140元,上星期。 And we haven’t heard the last of it.和我们没有听到最后。

Most forecasters think the price of oil is going to stay high, and some even predict it will reach $200 a barrel by the end of the year.多数预测认为,石油价格将会维持高位,有的甚至预测将达到200美元每桶今年年底。

Of course, it is not just the price of petrol that is affected.当然,不仅是汽油价格是影响。 Our economy is heavily dependent on oil.我们的经济严重依赖石油。 The price of gas and the price of steel are all closely linked to the black stuff – so the cost of building and heating homes is going up.价格,天然气和钢材价格都是紧密联系在一起的黑色的东西-因此,建设成本和取暖的家园正在上升。

And so too is food.等也是食物。 The rising price of our weekly shop is closely linked to the rising price of fertiliser and animal feed – all of which rely on oil for their production.上涨,我们每周店是紧密联系在一起的上涨,化肥和动物饲料-所有这些都依赖于石油,为他们的生产。 And of course there’s the cost of moving goods around.和,当然还有的费用,货物左右。

Around 95% of our transport system is dependent on oil. 95 %左右,我们的交通运输系统是依赖石油。 We’ve been used to fuel costing the same as mineral water and we have designed our towns and cities around the assumption that we can all hop in the car.我们一直在使用的燃料成本一样,矿泉水和我们设计了我们的城镇和城市周围的假设,我们都可以跳在车中。

But not everyone can.但不是每个人都可以。 In communities like Blaenau Gwent and Merthyr, where 35% of families are car-less, many low-income families feel forced to “invest” in a car to access jobs and services.在社区一样,要诀gwent和merthyr ,其中35 %的家庭车少,很多低收入家庭觉得被迫“投资”在汽车进入就业机会和服务。 And as the cost of petrol goes up it will be the families on tight budgets that are hit the hardest.作为汽油的成本上升,这将是对家庭预算紧张是最难击中。

Buying and running a car is already a major cause of people getting into trouble with debts, and those on low wages who do have cars spend nearly a quarter of their income on the cost of motoring.购买和运行的汽车已经是一个重要原因,人们陷入麻烦与债务,和那些低工资谁做的有车花了将近四分之一的收入,成本驾驶。

As seductive as it seems, trying to match increases in oil with tax cuts is a road to nowhere.作为诱人,因为它看来,试图以配合增加的石油与减税是一条走不通的。

We need to wean ourselves off oil or face a serious economic slump – that’s on top of the dramatic threat to our prosperity we face from climate change.我们需要依赖自己过油或面临着严重的经济衰退-这是对上方的戏剧性威胁到我们的繁荣,我们所面临的气候变化。 Last year’s Stern report on the economic impact of climate change warned that unless we take urgent action on cutting carbon emissions we face a downturn greater than the combined effects of both World Wars and the Great Depression.去年的斯特恩报告对经济的影响,气候变化警告说,除非我们采取紧急行动,对削减二氧化碳排放量我们所面对的低迷,大于的综合影响,两次世界大战和经济大萧条。

What’s to be done?怎么办? There is a different way forward, which will have a wide range of benefits not just for our economy but also for the stability of our climate.有一个不同的未来路向,这将有一系列广泛的利益,不仅是为了我们的经济,而且为稳定的气候。 But it’s going to require some decisive leadership to make it happen.但是现在需要一些决定性的领导,做到这一点。

A transport system that’s resilient to rising fuel prices needs to remove our over-dependence on oil. 1交通运输系统的弹性,燃料价格上涨的需要,以消除我们过度依赖石油。 By far the majority of our daily journeys are under three miles long, yet the current built environment makes walking, cycling or catching public transport a challenging, sometimes impossible option.到目前为止,我们大部分的每日行程是下三英里长,但目前的建筑环境,使散步,骑自行车或公共交通工具追赶一个具有挑战性,有时是不可能的选择。 But with a number of small changes accompanied by a big vision for a new approach to transport and the planning system, it’s quite possible to make these active and public travel choices the easier, more pleasant and more direct way to get to our everyday destinations.但与一些小的变化,伴随着一个大视野的一种新方法,以运输和规划系统,它很有可能使这些积极和公共交通的选择,更容易,更舒适和更直接的方式到达我们的日常生活目的地。

Sustainable transport charity Sustrans has been working for 30 years on practical projects to enable anyone to walk and cycle right across the UK.可持续的交通运输,慈善sustrans已工作了30年,对切实可行的项目,使任何人以步行和循环的权利,英国各地。 And we know that this vision, of a different, more active way to get around, is what people want too – just six months ago, the public voted in their thousands for the Big Lottery Fund to give Sustrans £50m for “Connect2”, a scheme which will build walking and cycling connections across 79 communities throughout the UK, including 10 schemes in Wales.我们知道,这个愿景,具有不同的,更积极的方式,这里,是什么人想太多-只需6个月前,市民投了数以千计的为大彩票基金给予s ustrans£五十米“ c onnect2” ,计划将建成步行和骑自行车的连接全国79个社区在整个英国,其中包括10名计划在威尔士。

What is clear from the rising price of oil is that we cannot carry on building a transport system which assumes everyone can jump in a car.什么是明确的从上升的石油价格是,我们不能进行关于建立交通运输系统,假设每个人都可以跳转在汽车内。 Not only is this likely to be unaffordable but it is contributing to a catastrophic shift in our climate.这不仅是可能会负担不起,但它有助于灾难性的转变,我们的气候。 Change is coming.变化是未来。 We can either anticipate it and set Wales up as a leader in sustainable travel, or we can continue in a state of denial and delude ourselves that fuel tax cuts will save the day.我们可以预期它并设置威尔斯作为一个领导人在可持续的旅行,或者我们可以继续在一个国家的否认和欺骗自己,说,燃油税的削减将可节省一天。

Lee Waters is director of the sustainable transport charity Sustrans Cymru李水域是主任的可持续交通慈善sustrans cymru

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This entry was posted on Wednesday, June 11th, 2008 at 11:27 am and is filed under 此项目被张贴在周三, 2008年6月11日在上午11时27分,并提交下 Business News 商业新闻 . You can follow any responses to this entry through the 您可以按照任何的反应,此项目通过 RSS 2.0 2.0 feed. 喂养。 You can 您可以 leave a response 留下的回应 , or ,或 trackback Trackback跟踪 from your own site. 从你自己的网站。
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