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美國智力院長： 世界資本家危機造成最巨大的威脅
星期天， 2009年2月15日
在證詞在參議院委員會面前在智力星期四，國家情報的華盛頓的新的主任，丹尼斯・布萊爾，警告加深的世界資本家危機造成了至高無上的威脅美國國家安全并且警告它的繼續可能觸發回歸到「猛烈極端主義」 20年代和30年代。 這個坦率的評估，包含在布萊爾」提出的「每年威脅評估的未保密的版本代表16個不同美國情報機構，代表了醒目的離開從早期，自阿爾凱達恐怖主義的一個假想普遍存在的威脅和二場戰爭展開在布什政府之下冠上關心名單。 清楚地強調他的評論是恐懼在巨型的美國智力用具之內並且在一次被延長的經濟危機由失業率上升伴隨，并且減少的社會消費將觸發階級鬥爭全球性爆發和社會革命威脅美國支配的精華的更加神志清楚的層數之中。 介紹是不僅一个為布萊爾，只接管作為國家情報主任二個星期前的一位前海軍海軍上將，而且指示了美國智力用具的透視的第一種詳述的闡述從Barack Obama的總統就職典禮。 「美國的主要近期安全問題是全球性經濟危機和它地緣政治的涵義」，在他的開場白宣稱的布萊爾。 他繼續了： 「危機是持續的在一年期間，并且經濟學家是否是分開的，并且我們可能擊中底部。 一些均勻恐懼後退可能進一步加深和到達大蕭條的水平。 當然，我們大家回憶劇烈的政治後果加工由20年代和30年代的經濟動亂在歐洲、不穩定和高水平猛烈極端主義」。 布萊爾描述了持續的財政和經濟熔毀作為「最嚴肅一個在數十年之內，如果不在世紀」。 「時間大概是我們的最巨大的威脅」，他說。 「越很多時間它花費為了補救能開始，越偉大嚴重損壞可能對美國戰略上的興趣的」。 The intelligence chief noted that “roughly a quarter of the countries in the world have already experienced low-level instability such as government changes because of the current slowdown.” He added that the “bulk of anti-state demonstrations” internationally have been seen in Europe and the former Soviet Union. But Blair stressed that the threat that the crisis will produce revolutionary upheavals is global. The financial meltdown, he said, is “likely to produce a wave of economic crises in emerging market nations over the next year.” He added that “much of Latin America, former Soviet Union states and sub-Saharan Africa lack sufficient cash reserves, access to international aid or credit, or other coping mechanism.” Noting that economic growth in these regions of the globe had fallen dramatically in recent months, Blair stated, “When those growth rates go down, my gut tells me that there are going to be problems coming out of that, and we’re looking for that.” He cited “statistical modeling” showing that “economic crises increase the risk of regime-threatening instability if they persist over a one to two year period.” In another parallel to the 1930s, the US intelligence director pointed to the implications of the crisis for world trade and relations between national capitalist economies. “The globally synchronized nature of this slowdown means that countries will not be able to export their way out of this recession,” he said. “Indeed, policies designed to promote domestic export industries?so-called beggar-thy-neighbor policies such as competitive currency devaluations, import tariffs, and/or export subsidies?risk unleashing a wave of destructive protectionism.” It was precisely such policies pursued in the 1930s that set the stage for the eruption of the Second World War. Blair also raised the damage that the crisis has done to the global credibility of American capitalism, declaring that the “widely held perception that excesses in US financial markets and inadequate regulation were responsible has increased criticism about free market policies, which may make it difficult to achieve long-time US objectives.” The collapse of Wall Street, he added, “has increased questioning of US stewardship of the global economy and the international financial structure.” The threat assessment also included evaluations of potential terrorist threats, the “arc of instability” stretching from the Middle East to South Asia, conditions in Latin America and Africa and strategic challenges from both China and Russia, centering in Eurasia. It likewise dealt with the war in Afghanistan, which the Obama administration is preparing to escalate, providing a scathing assessment of the Karzai regime in Kabul and the familiar demand for an escalation of the intervention in Pakistan. Nonetheless, the report’s undeniable focus was on the danger that economic turmoil will ignite revolutionary challenges on a world scale. Blair’s emphasis on the global capitalist crisis as the overriding national security concern for American imperialism seemed to leave some of the Senate intelligence panel’s members taken aback. They have been accustomed over the last seven years to having all US national security issues subsumed in the “global war on terrorism,” a propaganda catch-all used to justify US aggression abroad while papering over the immense contradictions underlying Washington’s global position. The committee’s Republican vice chairman, Senator Christopher Bond of Missouri, expressed his concern that Blair was making the “conditions in the country” and the global economic crisis “the primary focus of the intelligence community.” Blair responded that he was “trying to act as your intelligence officer today, telling you what I thought the Senate ought to be caring about.” It sounded like a rebuke and a warning to the senators that it is high time to ditch the ideological baggage of the past several years and confront the real and growing threat to capitalist rule posed by the crisis and the resulting radicalization of the masses in country after country. It may have been lost on some of those sitting at the dais in the Senate hearing room, but when Blair referred to a return to the conditions of “violent extremism” of the 1920s and 1930s, he was warning that American and world capitalism once again faces the specter of a revolutionary challenge by the working class. There is no doubt that behind the fa?ade of Obama, the US national security apparatus is making its counter-revolutionary preparations accordingly. Including Blair, Obama has named three recently retired four-star military officers to serve in his cabinet. The other two are former Marine Gen. James Jones, his national security adviser, and former Army chief of staff Gen. Erik Shinseki, his secretary of veterans affairs. This unprecedented representation of the senior officer corps within the new Democratic administration is indicative of a growth in the political power of the US military that poses a serious threat to basic democratic rights. A report that appeared in a magazine published by the US Army War College last November, just weeks after the election, indicates that the Pentagon and the US intelligence establishment are preparing for what they see as a historic crisis of the existing order that could require the use of armed force to quell social struggles at home. Entitled “Known Unknowns: Unconventional ?Strategic Shocks’ in Defense Strategy Development,” the monograph insists that one of the key contingencies for which the US military must prepare is a “violent, strategic dislocation inside the United States,” which could be provoked by “unforeseen economic collapse” or “loss of functioning political and legal order.” The report states: “Widespread civil violence inside the United States would force the defense establishment to reorient priorities in extremis to defend basic domestic order… An American government and defense establishment lulled into complacency by a long-secure domestic order would be forced to rapidly divest some or most external security commitments in order to address rapidly expanding human insecurity at home.” In other words, a sharp intensification of the unfolding capitalist crisis accompanied by an eruption of class struggle and the threat of social revolution in the US itself could force the Pentagon to call back its expeditionary armies from Iraq and Afghanistan for use against American workers. The document continues: “Under the most extreme circumstances, this might include use of military force against hostile groups inside the United States. Further, DoD [the Department of Defense] would be, by necessity, an essential enabling hub for the continuity of political authority in a multi-state or nationwide civil conflict or disturbance.” The phrase?”an essential enabling hub for continuity of authority”?is a euphemism for military dictatorship. The working class must draw its own urgent conclusions from the rapid deepening of the present crisis, above all the necessity of building a mass independent political party based on a socialist and internationalist program and fighting to put an end to the capitalist profit system. This means, above all, joining and building the Socialist Equality Party. Bill Van Auken Have Your Say: US intelligence chief: World capitalist crisis poses greatest threat Please read our posting guidelines before posting. 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